{
  "author": "Arhan Canli",
  "claim_boundary": "Immutable historical evidence only; no forward performance, admitted sleeve, live execution, or future-return claim.",
  "evidence_date": "2026-08-22",
  "family_key": "energy_inventory",
  "identities": [
    {
      "config_hash": "ccde1e9dc1523998",
      "configuration": {
        "costs": {
          "DBC": 0.0003,
          "UGA": 0.001,
          "USO": 0.0006
        },
        "entry": "next_session_open_after_release",
        "hedge": "trailing_252_session_dbc_beta_clamped_-3_3",
        "mechanism": "eia_first_release_petroleum_inventory_scarcity",
        "oos_start": "2016-01-01",
        "prereg": "docs/design/PREREG_EIA_PETROLEUM_INVENTORY.md",
        "probe": "eia_petroleum_inventory",
        "products": [
          "USO",
          "UGA"
        ],
        "scale_weeks": 52,
        "score_clip": [
          -3.0,
          3.0
        ],
        "seasonal_years": 5
      },
      "evidence_grade": "immutable_ledger_summary_with_optional_family_artifact",
      "hypothesis_key": "8446702cb8dd1768",
      "ledger_source_path": "var/experiments.jsonl",
      "ledger_source_sha256": "b5a318c0997d980575f758451f509e0154eecbbb50d734e49a587d473062bd08",
      "result": {
        "annualized_sharpe": -0.5893138450004753,
        "artifact_era_dsr": null,
        "kurtosis": 30.224506678313656,
        "maximum_drawdown": null,
        "observations": 2669,
        "skew": -1.5156582682335131
      }
    }
  ],
  "related_family_artifact": {
    "path": "artifacts/probe/eia_petroleum_inventory/result.json",
    "sha256": "949f2b073b96fd8068519dca06ff9a54ed79778535b67ad66da4b23e06ae8694"
  },
  "schema": "canli.alphac-energy-inventory-family.v1",
  "summary": {
    "admission_status": "NOT_ESTABLISHED_RESEARCH_ONLY",
    "broker_reconciled_forward_status": "NOT_ESTABLISHED",
    "capacity_status": "UNMEASURED_OR_NOT_FAMILY_WIDE",
    "distinct_hypothesis_identities": 1,
    "finite_sharpe_identities": 1,
    "maximum_annualized_sharpe": -0.5893138450004753,
    "minimum_annualized_sharpe": -0.5893138450004753,
    "positive_sharpe_identities": 0
  }
}