{
  "schema": "canli.alphac-sleeve-atlas.v2",
  "as_of": "2026-08-16",
  "objective": {
    "target_total_sleeves": 14,
    "minimum_new_sleeves": 10,
    "portfolio_sharpe_target": [
      2.0,
      2.5
    ],
    "portfolio_max_drawdown_target": 0.11,
    "targets_are_promises": false
  },
  "governance": {
    "stage": "taxonomy_before_returns",
    "cells_per_family": 6,
    "family_wise_accounting": true,
    "cell_is_independent_trial": false,
    "return_admission": "prohibited until literature, PIT lineage, execution, overlap and preregistration gates pass",
    "novelty_registry": "config/sleeve_family_lineage.json",
    "novelty_is_performance_evidence": false
  },
  "summary": {
    "families": 40,
    "cells": 240,
    "asset_groups": 20,
    "return_data_opened": 0,
    "return_hypotheses_spent": 0,
    "family_return_data_opened": 1,
    "family_return_hypotheses_spent": 1,
    "lineage_classifications": {
      "ACTIVE_FEASIBILITY": 6,
      "DUPLICATE_OVERLAP": 7,
      "IDENTITY_REDESIGN_REQUIRED": 2,
      "NOVEL_ATLAS": 20,
      "RETIRED_KILLED": 5
    }
  },
  "lineage_claim_boundary": "This registry governs novelty only. A NOVEL_ATLAS label means no documented identity-level match was found in the enumerated internal ledgers; it is not evidence of economic novelty, performance, or admission.",
  "current_sleeves": [
    {
      "id": "alphaforge",
      "aliases": [
        "crypto_carry_wk"
      ],
      "mechanism": "crypto funding-rate carry"
    },
    {
      "id": "alphamax",
      "aliases": [
        "k30_dn_63"
      ],
      "mechanism": "US equity cross-sectional momentum"
    },
    {
      "id": "managed_futures",
      "aliases": [
        "AlphaTrend"
      ],
      "mechanism": "multi-asset time-series momentum"
    },
    {
      "id": "alphavintage",
      "aliases": [
        "AlphaVintage"
      ],
      "mechanism": "PIT CPI-surprise equity size spread"
    }
  ],
  "families": [
    {
      "id": "earnings_narrative_change",
      "asset_group": "equity",
      "mechanism": "filing-language change residualized to surprise and momentum",
      "universes": [
        "us_large_mid",
        "us_small_mid"
      ],
      "horizons": [
        "21d",
        "63d",
        "126d"
      ],
      "point_in_time_data": "SEC filing acceptance time and immutable text",
      "execution_model": "next eligible open, beta/sector neutral",
      "primary_friction": "open spread, delistings, corporate actions",
      "overlap_guard": "AlphaMax and earnings-event beta",
      "literature_status": "SOURCE_REVIEWED",
      "program_status": "RETIRED_KILLED",
      "lineage_classification": "RETIRED_KILLED",
      "lineage_aliases": [],
      "lineage_evidence": [
        "docs/design/PREREG_EARNINGS_NARRATIVE_CHANGE.md",
        "artifacts/probe/earnings_narrative_change/result.json"
      ],
      "forward_experiment": null,
      "return_outcome": {
        "return_data_opened": true,
        "return_hypotheses_spent": 1,
        "return_identity_id": "earnings_narrative_change_v1",
        "verdict": "KILL",
        "result": "artifacts/probe/earnings_narrative_change/result.json",
        "technically_eligible": false
      }
    },
    {
      "id": "analyst_revision_drift",
      "asset_group": "equity",
      "mechanism": "as-of consensus revision diffusion",
      "universes": [
        "us_large_mid",
        "developed_ex_us"
      ],
      "horizons": [
        "21d",
        "63d",
        "126d"
      ],
      "point_in_time_data": "contributor-level as-of estimate history",
      "execution_model": "next open after timestamp, sector neutral",
      "primary_friction": "timestamp latency, crowding, borrow",
      "overlap_guard": "earnings surprise and price momentum",
      "literature_status": "PENDING_SOURCE_REVIEW",
      "program_status": "ATLAS_ONLY",
      "lineage_classification": "NOVEL_ATLAS",
      "lineage_aliases": [],
      "lineage_evidence": [],
      "forward_experiment": null,
      "return_outcome": null
    },
    {
      "id": "merger_arbitrage",
      "asset_group": "event_equity",
      "mechanism": "announced cash-deal spread convergence",
      "universes": [
        "us_cash_deals",
        "developed_cash_deals"
      ],
      "horizons": [
        "5d",
        "21d",
        "to_resolution"
      ],
      "point_in_time_data": "deal terms, amendments and outcomes as known",
      "execution_model": "deal basket with break-risk cap",
      "primary_friction": "break gaps, borrow, partial fills",
      "overlap_guard": "market beta and generic value",
      "literature_status": "PENDING_SOURCE_REVIEW",
      "program_status": "ATLAS_ONLY",
      "lineage_classification": "NOVEL_ATLAS",
      "lineage_aliases": [],
      "lineage_evidence": [],
      "forward_experiment": null,
      "return_outcome": null
    },
    {
      "id": "tender_offer_spread",
      "asset_group": "event_equity",
      "mechanism": "fixed-price tender convergence",
      "universes": [
        "us_issuer_tenders",
        "us_third_party_tenders"
      ],
      "horizons": [
        "5d",
        "21d",
        "to_expiry"
      ],
      "point_in_time_data": "SC TO and recommendation documents by acceptance time",
      "execution_model": "proration-aware event basket",
      "primary_friction": "proration, withdrawal, odd-lot constraints",
      "overlap_guard": "merger arbitrage",
      "literature_status": "PENDING_SOURCE_REVIEW",
      "program_status": "ATLAS_ONLY",
      "lineage_classification": "NOVEL_ATLAS",
      "lineage_aliases": [],
      "lineage_evidence": [],
      "forward_experiment": null,
      "return_outcome": null
    },
    {
      "id": "index_reconstitution_flow",
      "asset_group": "event_equity",
      "mechanism": "forced benchmark demand between announcement and effective date",
      "universes": [
        "us_large_indices",
        "global_developed_indices"
      ],
      "horizons": [
        "1d",
        "5d",
        "to_effective"
      ],
      "point_in_time_data": "point-in-time announcements, float and weights",
      "execution_model": "auction-aware long/short basket",
      "primary_friction": "closing-auction impact and crowding",
      "overlap_guard": "ordinary momentum",
      "literature_status": "PENDING_SOURCE_REVIEW",
      "program_status": "ATLAS_ONLY",
      "lineage_classification": "NOVEL_ATLAS",
      "lineage_aliases": [],
      "lineage_evidence": [],
      "forward_experiment": null,
      "return_outcome": null
    },
    {
      "id": "active_ownership_escalation",
      "asset_group": "event_equity",
      "mechanism": "specific Schedule 13D control intent",
      "universes": [
        "us_all_cap",
        "us_small_mid"
      ],
      "horizons": [
        "21d",
        "63d",
        "126d"
      ],
      "point_in_time_data": "13D/13D-A state and Item 4 at acceptance time",
      "execution_model": "next-open diversified target basket",
      "primary_friction": "gaps, liquidity, amendments",
      "overlap_guard": "small-cap value and momentum",
      "literature_status": "PENDING_SOURCE_REVIEW",
      "program_status": "ATLAS_ONLY",
      "lineage_classification": "NOVEL_ATLAS",
      "lineage_aliases": [],
      "lineage_evidence": [],
      "forward_experiment": null,
      "return_outcome": null
    },
    {
      "id": "spin_off_dislocation",
      "asset_group": "event_equity",
      "mechanism": "forced selling and information gaps around separations",
      "universes": [
        "us_spinoffs",
        "developed_spinoffs"
      ],
      "horizons": [
        "5d",
        "63d",
        "252d"
      ],
      "point_in_time_data": "Form 10/8-K terms and when-issued lineage",
      "execution_model": "parent/stub and child baskets",
      "primary_friction": "when-issued liquidity, borrow, basis",
      "overlap_guard": "size, value and issuance",
      "literature_status": "SOURCE_REVIEWED",
      "program_status": "IDENTITY_REDESIGN_REQUIRED",
      "lineage_classification": "IDENTITY_REDESIGN_REQUIRED",
      "lineage_aliases": [],
      "lineage_evidence": [
        "docs/design/LITERATURE_SPIN_OFF_DISLOCATION.md",
        "docs/design/FEASIBILITY_SPIN_OFF_DISLOCATION.md",
        "docs/design/FEASIBILITY_SPIN_OFF_DOCUMENT_SCHEMA.md",
        "artifacts/feasibility/spin_off_dislocation/document_schema_result.json"
      ],
      "forward_experiment": null,
      "return_outcome": null
    },
    {
      "id": "repurchase_issuance_flow",
      "asset_group": "equity",
      "mechanism": "net corporate equity demand from completed repurchases versus issuance",
      "universes": [
        "us_large_mid",
        "us_small_mid"
      ],
      "horizons": [
        "21d",
        "63d",
        "252d"
      ],
      "point_in_time_data": "filing-time shares, offerings and completed repurchases",
      "execution_model": "sector-neutral cross-section",
      "primary_friction": "reporting lag, liquidity, borrow",
      "overlap_guard": "value, profitability and momentum",
      "literature_status": "SOURCE_REVIEWED",
      "program_status": "ACTIVE_FEASIBILITY",
      "lineage_classification": "DUPLICATE_OVERLAP",
      "lineage_aliases": [
        "eq_net_issuance"
      ],
      "lineage_evidence": [
        "public_kill_ledger#screen_stage_kills:eq_net_issuance",
        "docs/design/LITERATURE_REPURCHASE_ISSUANCE_FLOW.md",
        "docs/design/FEASIBILITY_REPURCHASE_ISSUANCE_FLOW.md",
        "artifacts/feasibility/repurchase_issuance_flow/identity_overlap_audit.json"
      ],
      "forward_experiment": null,
      "return_outcome": null
    },
    {
      "id": "customer_supplier_propagation",
      "asset_group": "equity_network",
      "mechanism": "idiosyncratic shocks propagating through production links",
      "universes": [
        "us_public_network",
        "global_developed_network"
      ],
      "horizons": [
        "5d",
        "21d",
        "63d"
      ],
      "point_in_time_data": "point-in-time named relationships and filing times",
      "execution_model": "network-residualized basket",
      "primary_friction": "stale links, concentration, open gaps",
      "overlap_guard": "industry and price momentum",
      "literature_status": "SOURCE_REVIEWED",
      "program_status": "ACTIVE_FEASIBILITY",
      "lineage_classification": "ACTIVE_FEASIBILITY",
      "lineage_aliases": [],
      "lineage_evidence": [
        "docs/design/LITERATURE_CUSTOMER_SUPPLIER_PROPAGATION.md",
        "docs/design/FEASIBILITY_CUSTOMER_SUPPLIER_PROPAGATION.md",
        "artifacts/feasibility/customer_supplier_propagation/result.json"
      ],
      "forward_experiment": null,
      "return_outcome": null
    },
    {
      "id": "securities_lending_supply",
      "asset_group": "equity_short",
      "mechanism": "borrow-fee and utilization changes from constrained supply",
      "universes": [
        "us_easy_to_borrow",
        "us_hard_to_borrow"
      ],
      "horizons": [
        "5d",
        "21d",
        "63d"
      ],
      "point_in_time_data": "historical fees, availability, locates and recalls",
      "execution_model": "availability-capped long/short basket",
      "primary_friction": "recalls, locate failure, fee jumps",
      "overlap_guard": "short interest and momentum",
      "literature_status": "PENDING_SOURCE_REVIEW",
      "program_status": "ATLAS_ONLY",
      "lineage_classification": "NOVEL_ATLAS",
      "lineage_aliases": [],
      "lineage_evidence": [],
      "forward_experiment": null,
      "return_outcome": null
    },
    {
      "id": "short_interest_revision",
      "asset_group": "equity_short",
      "mechanism": "publication-aware changes in short positioning",
      "universes": [
        "us_large_mid",
        "us_small_mid"
      ],
      "horizons": [
        "10d",
        "21d",
        "42d"
      ],
      "point_in_time_data": "exchange publication dates and settlement lags",
      "execution_model": "beta/sector-neutral basket",
      "primary_friction": "borrow availability and squeeze gaps",
      "overlap_guard": "securities lending and momentum",
      "literature_status": "PENDING_SOURCE_REVIEW",
      "program_status": "ATLAS_ONLY",
      "lineage_classification": "RETIRED_KILLED",
      "lineage_aliases": [
        "equity_short_interest_dtc"
      ],
      "lineage_evidence": [
        "public_kill_ledger#screen_stage_kills:equity_short_interest_dtc"
      ],
      "forward_experiment": null,
      "return_outcome": null
    },
    {
      "id": "closed_end_fund_discount",
      "asset_group": "fund_relative_value",
      "mechanism": "published NAV discount mean reversion",
      "universes": [
        "us_equity_cef",
        "us_bond_cef"
      ],
      "horizons": [
        "5d",
        "21d",
        "63d"
      ],
      "point_in_time_data": "NAV publication time, distributions and reorganizations",
      "execution_model": "discount-ranked hedged basket",
      "primary_friction": "stale NAV, spread, leverage events",
      "overlap_guard": "credit beta and value",
      "literature_status": "PENDING_SOURCE_REVIEW",
      "program_status": "ATLAS_ONLY",
      "lineage_classification": "RETIRED_KILLED",
      "lineage_aliases": [
        "cef_discount"
      ],
      "lineage_evidence": [
        "public_kill_ledger#screen_stage_kills:cef_discount"
      ],
      "forward_experiment": {
        "status": "FORWARD_ONLY",
        "evaluation": "~2027-07-19 after at least 48 weekly observations",
        "source": "scripts/probe_cef_discount.py"
      },
      "return_outcome": null
    },
    {
      "id": "bond_etf_nav_dislocation",
      "asset_group": "credit",
      "mechanism": "ETF price versus executable underlying-value dislocation",
      "universes": [
        "us_ig_etf",
        "us_hy_etf"
      ],
      "horizons": [
        "intraday",
        "1d",
        "5d"
      ],
      "point_in_time_data": "timestamped basket, evaluated prices and TRACE prints",
      "execution_model": "secondary-market ETF execution only",
      "primary_friction": "stale marks, AP asymmetry, crisis spreads",
      "overlap_guard": "credit beta and liquidity beta",
      "literature_status": "SOURCE_REVIEWED",
      "program_status": "ACTIVE_FEASIBILITY",
      "lineage_classification": "ACTIVE_FEASIBILITY",
      "lineage_aliases": [],
      "lineage_evidence": [
        "docs/design/LITERATURE_BOND_ETF_NAV_DISLOCATION.md",
        "docs/design/FEASIBILITY_BOND_ETF_NAV_DISLOCATION.md",
        "artifacts/feasibility/bond_etf_nav_dislocation/result.json"
      ],
      "forward_experiment": null,
      "return_outcome": null
    },
    {
      "id": "credit_equity_relative_value",
      "asset_group": "credit",
      "mechanism": "issuer equity-credit dislocation after common-risk neutralization",
      "universes": [
        "us_ig_issuers",
        "us_hy_issuers"
      ],
      "horizons": [
        "5d",
        "21d",
        "63d"
      ],
      "point_in_time_data": "PIT issuer mapping, bond prices and corporate actions",
      "execution_model": "liquidity-capped matched issuer basket",
      "primary_friction": "TRACE liquidity, borrow, duration hedge",
      "overlap_guard": "quality, distress and momentum",
      "literature_status": "PENDING_SOURCE_REVIEW",
      "program_status": "ATLAS_ONLY",
      "lineage_classification": "NOVEL_ATLAS",
      "lineage_aliases": [],
      "lineage_evidence": [],
      "forward_experiment": null,
      "return_outcome": null
    },
    {
      "id": "fallen_angel_flow",
      "asset_group": "credit",
      "mechanism": "forced selling around investment-grade downgrades",
      "universes": [
        "us_corporates",
        "global_developed_corporates"
      ],
      "horizons": [
        "5d",
        "21d",
        "63d"
      ],
      "point_in_time_data": "rating action timestamps and index eligibility",
      "execution_model": "bond/ETF proxy basket with duration hedge",
      "primary_friction": "dealer inventory, index timing, bid-ask",
      "overlap_guard": "credit momentum and quality",
      "literature_status": "PENDING_SOURCE_REVIEW",
      "program_status": "ATLAS_ONLY",
      "lineage_classification": "NOVEL_ATLAS",
      "lineage_aliases": [],
      "lineage_evidence": [],
      "forward_experiment": null,
      "return_outcome": null
    },
    {
      "id": "municipal_taxable_basis",
      "asset_group": "credit",
      "mechanism": "tax-adjusted municipal versus Treasury/credit dislocation",
      "universes": [
        "us_ig_muni",
        "us_high_yield_muni"
      ],
      "horizons": [
        "5d",
        "21d",
        "63d"
      ],
      "point_in_time_data": "MSRB prints, calls, tax and reference data",
      "execution_model": "duration/quality-matched basket",
      "primary_friction": "sparse prints, mark staleness, calls",
      "overlap_guard": "duration and generic credit",
      "literature_status": "PENDING_SOURCE_REVIEW",
      "program_status": "ATLAS_ONLY",
      "lineage_classification": "NOVEL_ATLAS",
      "lineage_aliases": [],
      "lineage_evidence": [],
      "forward_experiment": null,
      "return_outcome": null
    },
    {
      "id": "options_dispersion",
      "asset_group": "equity_options",
      "mechanism": "index versus constituent implied-correlation dispersion",
      "universes": [
        "spx_top50",
        "spx_sector_baskets"
      ],
      "horizons": [
        "7d",
        "30d",
        "60d"
      ],
      "point_in_time_data": "historical surfaces and membership at quote time",
      "execution_model": "defined-loss delta-hedged option book",
      "primary_friction": "multi-leg spread, impact, gap hedging",
      "overlap_guard": "short index variance",
      "literature_status": "SOURCE_REVIEWED",
      "program_status": "ACTIVE_FEASIBILITY",
      "lineage_classification": "ACTIVE_FEASIBILITY",
      "lineage_aliases": [],
      "lineage_evidence": [
        "config/sleeve_discovery.json#candidates:options_dispersion",
        "docs/design/LITERATURE_OPTIONS_DISPERSION.md",
        "docs/design/FEASIBILITY_OPTIONS_DISPERSION.md"
      ],
      "forward_experiment": null,
      "return_outcome": null
    },
    {
      "id": "options_skew_carry",
      "asset_group": "equity_options",
      "mechanism": "cross-sectional downside skew compensation",
      "universes": [
        "spx_index",
        "liquid_single_names"
      ],
      "horizons": [
        "7d",
        "30d",
        "60d"
      ],
      "point_in_time_data": "quote-level surfaces, dividends and actions",
      "execution_model": "defined-risk verticals with hedge ledger",
      "primary_friction": "wing liquidity, jumps, assignment",
      "overlap_guard": "variance premium and equity beta",
      "literature_status": "PENDING_SOURCE_REVIEW",
      "program_status": "ATLAS_ONLY",
      "lineage_classification": "DUPLICATE_OVERLAP",
      "lineage_aliases": [
        "equity_vrp"
      ],
      "lineage_evidence": [
        "public_kill_ledger#screen_stage_kills:equity_vrp"
      ],
      "forward_experiment": null,
      "return_outcome": null
    },
    {
      "id": "options_term_structure",
      "asset_group": "equity_options",
      "mechanism": "relative option variance across maturities",
      "universes": [
        "spx_index",
        "liquid_sector_etfs"
      ],
      "horizons": [
        "7d_30d",
        "30d_60d",
        "60d_90d"
      ],
      "point_in_time_data": "synchronized surfaces and forward dividends",
      "execution_model": "vega/gamma-balanced calendars",
      "primary_friction": "calendar spread fills and gap vega",
      "overlap_guard": "variance premium and trend",
      "literature_status": "PENDING_SOURCE_REVIEW",
      "program_status": "ATLAS_ONLY",
      "lineage_classification": "DUPLICATE_OVERLAP",
      "lineage_aliases": [
        "equity_vrp"
      ],
      "lineage_evidence": [
        "public_kill_ledger#screen_stage_kills:equity_vrp"
      ],
      "forward_experiment": null,
      "return_outcome": null
    },
    {
      "id": "dealer_gamma_pressure",
      "asset_group": "equity_options",
      "mechanism": "dealer hedge demand conditional on estimated gamma inventory",
      "universes": [
        "spx_0dte",
        "liquid_single_names"
      ],
      "horizons": [
        "intraday",
        "1d",
        "5d"
      ],
      "point_in_time_data": "PIT open interest, trades and surface state",
      "execution_model": "liquidity-window futures/equity execution",
      "primary_friction": "latency, impact, inventory-model error",
      "overlap_guard": "intraday reversal and volatility",
      "literature_status": "PENDING_SOURCE_REVIEW",
      "program_status": "ATLAS_ONLY",
      "lineage_classification": "NOVEL_ATLAS",
      "lineage_aliases": [],
      "lineage_evidence": [],
      "forward_experiment": null,
      "return_outcome": null
    },
    {
      "id": "volatility_futures_curve",
      "asset_group": "volatility",
      "mechanism": "term-structure roll and dislocation with crash budget",
      "universes": [
        "vix_front",
        "vix_midcurve"
      ],
      "horizons": [
        "1d",
        "5d",
        "21d"
      ],
      "point_in_time_data": "settlements, rolls, multipliers and quotes",
      "execution_model": "calendar-spread or capped outright book",
      "primary_friction": "limit moves, roll crowding, convex loss",
      "overlap_guard": "equity trend and variance premium",
      "literature_status": "PENDING_SOURCE_REVIEW",
      "program_status": "ATLAS_ONLY",
      "lineage_classification": "DUPLICATE_OVERLAP",
      "lineage_aliases": [
        "equity_vrp",
        "xasset_carry"
      ],
      "lineage_evidence": [
        "public_kill_ledger#screen_stage_kills:equity_vrp",
        "public_kill_ledger#screen_stage_kills:xasset_carry"
      ],
      "forward_experiment": null,
      "return_outcome": null
    },
    {
      "id": "treasury_auction_concession",
      "asset_group": "rates",
      "mechanism": "scheduled dealer balance-sheet demand around coupon auctions",
      "universes": [
        "ust_2y_5y",
        "ust_7y_30y"
      ],
      "horizons": [
        "1d",
        "3d",
        "5d"
      ],
      "point_in_time_data": "announcement revision and auction lineage",
      "execution_model": "duration-hedged futures/ETF basket",
      "primary_friction": "one-tick costs, rolls, event gaps",
      "overlap_guard": "duration beta and trend",
      "literature_status": "SOURCE_REVIEWED",
      "program_status": "IDENTITY_REDESIGN_REQUIRED",
      "lineage_classification": "IDENTITY_REDESIGN_REQUIRED",
      "lineage_aliases": [],
      "lineage_evidence": [
        "docs/design/FEASIBILITY_TREASURY_AUCTION_CONCESSION.md",
        "docs/design/FEASIBILITY_TREASURY_AUCTION_IDENTITY_TIMING.md",
        "artifacts/feasibility/treasury_auction_concession/calendar_revision_audit.json"
      ],
      "forward_experiment": null,
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    },
    {
      "id": "pre_fomc_announcement_drift",
      "asset_group": "rates_event",
      "mechanism": "publication-aware pre-announcement equity drift",
      "universes": [
        "es_futures",
        "spy_proxy"
      ],
      "horizons": [
        "2h",
        "6h",
        "1d"
      ],
      "point_in_time_data": "PIT meeting schedule and exact release time",
      "execution_model": "event-window market order simulation",
      "primary_friction": "schedule changes, spread, announcement gaps",
      "overlap_guard": "overnight and market beta",
      "literature_status": "SOURCE_REVIEWED",
      "program_status": "ACTIVE_FEASIBILITY",
      "lineage_classification": "ACTIVE_FEASIBILITY",
      "lineage_aliases": [],
      "lineage_evidence": [
        "config/sleeve_discovery.json#candidates:pre_fomc_announcement_drift"
      ],
      "forward_experiment": null,
      "return_outcome": null
    },
    {
      "id": "swap_spread_dislocation",
      "asset_group": "rates",
      "mechanism": "Treasury-swap relative value and dealer balance-sheet pressure",
      "universes": [
        "usd_2y_5y",
        "usd_10y_30y"
      ],
      "horizons": [
        "5d",
        "21d",
        "63d"
      ],
      "point_in_time_data": "PIT swaps, Treasury deliverables and funding",
      "execution_model": "DV01-neutral spread basket",
      "primary_friction": "financing, roll, clearing and convexity",
      "overlap_guard": "duration and auction concession",
      "literature_status": "PENDING_SOURCE_REVIEW",
      "program_status": "ATLAS_ONLY",
      "lineage_classification": "NOVEL_ATLAS",
      "lineage_aliases": [],
      "lineage_evidence": [],
      "forward_experiment": null,
      "return_outcome": null
    },
    {
      "id": "inflation_breakeven_relative_value",
      "asset_group": "rates",
      "mechanism": "inflation compensation versus survey and realized-vintage information",
      "universes": [
        "tips_2y_5y",
        "tips_5y_10y"
      ],
      "horizons": [
        "21d",
        "63d",
        "126d"
      ],
      "point_in_time_data": "PIT TIPS, swaps, CPI vintages and carry",
      "execution_model": "duration/carry-neutral breakeven basket",
      "primary_friction": "seasonality, index lag, funding",
      "overlap_guard": "AlphaVintage and duration",
      "literature_status": "PENDING_SOURCE_REVIEW",
      "program_status": "ATLAS_ONLY",
      "lineage_classification": "NOVEL_ATLAS",
      "lineage_aliases": [],
      "lineage_evidence": [],
      "forward_experiment": null,
      "return_outcome": null
    },
    {
      "id": "mortgage_convexity_pressure",
      "asset_group": "rates",
      "mechanism": "rate-volatility-driven mortgage hedge rebalancing",
      "universes": [
        "ust_5y_10y",
        "agency_mbs_proxy"
      ],
      "horizons": [
        "1d",
        "5d",
        "21d"
      ],
      "point_in_time_data": "PIT mortgage universe, durations and rate surface",
      "execution_model": "DV01-neutral futures/MBS proxy",
      "primary_friction": "convexity jumps, liquidity, model error",
      "overlap_guard": "rates trend and volatility",
      "literature_status": "PENDING_SOURCE_REVIEW",
      "program_status": "ATLAS_ONLY",
      "lineage_classification": "NOVEL_ATLAS",
      "lineage_aliases": [],
      "lineage_evidence": [],
      "forward_experiment": null,
      "return_outcome": null
    },
    {
      "id": "cross_currency_basis",
      "asset_group": "fx_rates",
      "mechanism": "currency funding-demand dislocation",
      "universes": [
        "g10_short_tenor",
        "g10_long_tenor"
      ],
      "horizons": [
        "5d",
        "21d",
        "63d"
      ],
      "point_in_time_data": "PIT forwards, OIS curves and fixings",
      "execution_model": "delta/DV01-matched basis basket",
      "primary_friction": "roll, funding, holidays, fixing risk",
      "overlap_guard": "FX carry and global dollar beta",
      "literature_status": "PENDING_SOURCE_REVIEW",
      "program_status": "ATLAS_ONLY",
      "lineage_classification": "NOVEL_ATLAS",
      "lineage_aliases": [],
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      "forward_experiment": null,
      "return_outcome": null
    },
    {
      "id": "fx_option_risk_reversal",
      "asset_group": "fx_options",
      "mechanism": "cross-sectional compensation in implied downside asymmetry",
      "universes": [
        "g10",
        "liquid_em"
      ],
      "horizons": [
        "7d",
        "30d",
        "90d"
      ],
      "point_in_time_data": "PIT surfaces, forwards and calendars",
      "execution_model": "delta-hedged defined-risk structures",
      "primary_friction": "wide wings, gap hedging, NDF fixing",
      "overlap_guard": "FX carry and trend",
      "literature_status": "PENDING_SOURCE_REVIEW",
      "program_status": "ATLAS_ONLY",
      "lineage_classification": "NOVEL_ATLAS",
      "lineage_aliases": [],
      "lineage_evidence": [],
      "forward_experiment": null,
      "return_outcome": null
    },
    {
      "id": "cftc_hedging_pressure",
      "asset_group": "commodity",
      "mechanism": "commercial hedging-pressure risk transfer",
      "universes": [
        "energy_metals",
        "agriculture_livestock"
      ],
      "horizons": [
        "7d",
        "28d",
        "84d"
      ],
      "point_in_time_data": "release-lagged COT positions and fixed contract map",
      "execution_model": "sector-neutral futures basket",
      "primary_friction": "rolls, limits, crisis spreads",
      "overlap_guard": "trend and curve carry",
      "literature_status": "SOURCE_REVIEWED",
      "program_status": "ACTIVE_FEASIBILITY",
      "lineage_classification": "RETIRED_KILLED",
      "lineage_aliases": [
        "cot_positioning"
      ],
      "lineage_evidence": [
        "public_kill_ledger#screen_stage_kills:cot_positioning"
      ],
      "forward_experiment": null,
      "return_outcome": null
    },
    {
      "id": "commodity_calendar_seasonality",
      "asset_group": "commodity",
      "mechanism": "physical-cycle calendar spread behavior",
      "universes": [
        "energy_metals",
        "agriculture"
      ],
      "horizons": [
        "5d",
        "21d",
        "63d"
      ],
      "point_in_time_data": "contract-level curves, delivery and roll calendars",
      "execution_model": "matched calendar spreads",
      "primary_friction": "delivery squeeze, seasonality decay, limits",
      "overlap_guard": "curve carry and trend",
      "literature_status": "PENDING_SOURCE_REVIEW",
      "program_status": "ATLAS_ONLY",
      "lineage_classification": "DUPLICATE_OVERLAP",
      "lineage_aliases": [
        "futcarry_xs",
        "xasset_carry"
      ],
      "lineage_evidence": [
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        "public_kill_ledger#screen_stage_kills:xasset_carry"
      ],
      "forward_experiment": null,
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    },
    {
      "id": "electricity_load_weather_spread",
      "asset_group": "power",
      "mechanism": "forecast error in regional load versus marginal fuel",
      "universes": [
        "pjm_ercot",
        "miso_isone"
      ],
      "horizons": [
        "day_ahead",
        "7d",
        "28d"
      ],
      "point_in_time_data": "PIT weather/load forecasts and hub prices",
      "execution_model": "listed power/gas spread basket",
      "primary_friction": "nodal basis, extreme weather, thin books",
      "overlap_guard": "natural-gas trend and seasonality",
      "literature_status": "SOURCE_REVIEWED",
      "program_status": "ACTIVE_FEASIBILITY",
      "lineage_classification": "ACTIVE_FEASIBILITY",
      "lineage_aliases": [],
      "lineage_evidence": [
        "config/sleeve_discovery.json#candidates:electricity_load_weather_spread",
        "docs/design/LITERATURE_ELECTRICITY_LOAD_WEATHER.md",
        "docs/design/FEASIBILITY_ELECTRICITY_LOAD_WEATHER.md",
        "artifacts/feasibility/electricity_load_weather/result.json"
      ],
      "forward_experiment": null,
      "return_outcome": null
    },
    {
      "id": "natural_gas_storage_weather",
      "asset_group": "commodity",
      "mechanism": "storage surprise conditional on forecast-vintage weather",
      "universes": [
        "henry_hub",
        "regional_gas"
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      "horizons": [
        "1d",
        "7d",
        "28d"
      ],
      "point_in_time_data": "EIA release time and weather forecast vintages",
      "execution_model": "futures/calendar-spread execution",
      "primary_friction": "release slippage, revisions, limit moves",
      "overlap_guard": "energy trend and curve carry",
      "literature_status": "SOURCE_REVIEWED",
      "program_status": "DUPLICATE_OVERLAP",
      "lineage_classification": "DUPLICATE_OVERLAP",
      "lineage_aliases": [
        "commodity_inventory_seasonal"
      ],
      "lineage_evidence": [
        "artifacts/probe/eia_petroleum_inventory/result.json",
        "docs/design/LITERATURE_NATURAL_GAS_STORAGE_WEATHER.md",
        "docs/design/FEASIBILITY_NATURAL_GAS_STORAGE_WEATHER.md",
        "artifacts/feasibility/natural_gas_storage_weather/result.json"
      ],
      "forward_experiment": null,
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    },
    {
      "id": "carbon_allowance_carry",
      "asset_group": "environmental",
      "mechanism": "regulatory inventory and convenience yield in allowance curves",
      "universes": [
        "eu_ets",
        "uk_california"
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        "5d",
        "21d",
        "63d"
      ],
      "point_in_time_data": "PIT contract rules, registry and curve quotes",
      "execution_model": "listed futures spread basket",
      "primary_friction": "policy gaps, venue access, roll liquidity",
      "overlap_guard": "energy prices and commodity carry",
      "literature_status": "PENDING_SOURCE_REVIEW",
      "program_status": "ATLAS_ONLY",
      "lineage_classification": "NOVEL_ATLAS",
      "lineage_aliases": [],
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      "forward_experiment": null,
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    },
    {
      "id": "freight_derivative_dislocation",
      "asset_group": "freight",
      "mechanism": "shipping capacity imbalance in forward freight agreements",
      "universes": [
        "dry_bulk",
        "tanker_container"
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        "5d",
        "21d",
        "63d"
      ],
      "point_in_time_data": "PIT route assessments, contracts and quotes",
      "execution_model": "cleared FFA basket",
      "primary_friction": "assessment timing, sparse liquidity, margin",
      "overlap_guard": "commodity trend and global growth",
      "literature_status": "PENDING_SOURCE_REVIEW",
      "program_status": "ATLAS_ONLY",
      "lineage_classification": "NOVEL_ATLAS",
      "lineage_aliases": [],
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    },
    {
      "id": "crypto_liquidation_pressure",
      "asset_group": "crypto",
      "mechanism": "forced deleveraging and order-book recovery",
      "universes": [
        "btc_eth",
        "liquid_alt_perps"
      ],
      "horizons": [
        "15m",
        "4h",
        "1d"
      ],
      "point_in_time_data": "exchange trades, liquidations and book snapshots",
      "execution_model": "latency/partial-fill event simulator",
      "primary_friction": "outages, queue, impact, clawbacks",
      "overlap_guard": "funding carry and momentum",
      "literature_status": "PENDING_SOURCE_REVIEW",
      "program_status": "ATLAS_ONLY",
      "lineage_classification": "NOVEL_ATLAS",
      "lineage_aliases": [],
      "lineage_evidence": [],
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    },
    {
      "id": "crypto_cross_venue_basis",
      "asset_group": "crypto",
      "mechanism": "temporary collateral and inventory segmentation across venues",
      "universes": [
        "btc_eth",
        "stablecoin_pairs"
      ],
      "horizons": [
        "1h",
        "1d",
        "7d"
      ],
      "point_in_time_data": "synchronized books, fees and transfer state",
      "execution_model": "inventory-prefunded cross-venue book",
      "primary_friction": "withdrawal halts, latency, counterparty risk",
      "overlap_guard": "funding carry",
      "literature_status": "PENDING_SOURCE_REVIEW",
      "program_status": "ATLAS_ONLY",
      "lineage_classification": "RETIRED_KILLED",
      "lineage_aliases": [
        "multivenue_funding",
        "crypto_dated_basis",
        "funding_termstructure"
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      "lineage_evidence": [
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        "public_kill_ledger#screen_stage_kills:crypto_dated_basis",
        "public_kill_ledger#screen_stage_kills:funding_termstructure"
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      "forward_experiment": null,
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    {
      "id": "stablecoin_dislocation",
      "asset_group": "crypto",
      "mechanism": "institution-eligible USDC secondary-to-primary redemption dislocation",
      "universes": [
        "usdc_usd_centralized",
        "usdc_usd_onchain"
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      "horizons": [
        "intraday",
        "1d",
        "to_fiat_settlement"
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      "point_in_time_data": "effective-dated issuer eligibility, terms, venue books, chain and bank state",
      "execution_model": "prefunded purchase, canonical-chain transfer and direct issuer redemption",
      "primary_friction": "depeg gaps, blocked redemption, venue/issuer/bank loss and transfer delay",
      "overlap_guard": "crypto funding, venue credit and banking stress",
      "literature_status": "SOURCE_REVIEWED",
      "program_status": "ACTIVE_FEASIBILITY",
      "lineage_classification": "ACTIVE_FEASIBILITY",
      "lineage_aliases": [],
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      "id": "crypto_options_surface",
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      "mechanism": "relative skew/term compensation with defined loss",
      "universes": [
        "btc_options",
        "eth_options"
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        "7d",
        "30d",
        "60d"
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      "point_in_time_data": "quote-level surfaces, expiries and DVOL state",
      "execution_model": "delta-hedged defined-risk structures",
      "primary_friction": "24/7 gaps, spread, exchange default",
      "overlap_guard": "crypto variance premium and trend",
      "literature_status": "PENDING_SOURCE_REVIEW",
      "program_status": "ATLAS_ONLY",
      "lineage_classification": "DUPLICATE_OVERLAP",
      "lineage_aliases": [
        "crypto_vrp"
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      "lineage_evidence": [
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      "forward_experiment": null,
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    {
      "id": "catastrophe_bond_event_risk",
      "asset_group": "insurance_linked",
      "mechanism": "seasonal/event insurance risk transfer",
      "universes": [
        "us_wind_exposed",
        "global_multi_peril"
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      "horizons": [
        "monthly",
        "quarterly",
        "annual"
      ],
      "point_in_time_data": "security triggers, event notices and executable marks",
      "execution_model": "diversified security-level basket",
      "primary_friction": "mark staleness, trapped collateral, trigger basis",
      "overlap_guard": "credit beta and climate seasonality",
      "literature_status": "PENDING_SOURCE_REVIEW",
      "program_status": "ATLAS_ONLY",
      "lineage_classification": "NOVEL_ATLAS",
      "lineage_aliases": [],
      "lineage_evidence": [],
      "forward_experiment": null,
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    },
    {
      "id": "sovereign_cds_fx_dislocation",
      "asset_group": "sovereign",
      "mechanism": "local FX versus sovereign credit repricing mismatch",
      "universes": [
        "liquid_em_ig",
        "liquid_em_hy"
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      "horizons": [
        "5d",
        "21d",
        "63d"
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      "point_in_time_data": "PIT CDS, NDF/FX, curves and events",
      "execution_model": "beta/duration-neutral matched-country basket",
      "primary_friction": "jump risk, capital controls, liquidity",
      "overlap_guard": "EM carry and global risk beta",
      "literature_status": "PENDING_SOURCE_REVIEW",
      "program_status": "ATLAS_ONLY",
      "lineage_classification": "NOVEL_ATLAS",
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