{
  "claim_boundary": "Current-vintage development comparison on inspected history; explicit raw fills and payable dividends. Modeled costs/borrow, static metadata, no contemporaneous publication or historical borrow proof. No untouched test, independent reproduction, capacity validation or admission. Accounting complete; comparative decision follows both fixed arms.",
  "complete": true,
  "completion_assessment": {
    "candidate_evidence_complete_for_admission": false,
    "disposition": "INCOMPLETE_NOT_ADMITTED",
    "packet_evidence_accounting_complete": true
  },
  "config_hash": "bfabd729109ca9ce",
  "configuration": {
    "allocator": "trend",
    "alpha_names": [
      "mf_trend_63",
      "mf_trend_126",
      "mf_trend_252"
    ],
    "cov_halflife_days": null,
    "cov_min_periods": 240,
    "cov_window_bars": 720,
    "end": 1789171200000,
    "evaluation_policy": "continuous_retrospective_payable_book_v1",
    "history_start": 1325548800000,
    "implementation_manifest_sha256": "c138ef478493f744f7f55ec9bfb9e2a7aff7bf3057b43ce6ee5b89d8be122b3a",
    "initial_cash": 100000.0,
    "input_binding": {
      "execution_mode": "RETROSPECTIVE_CURRENT_VINTAGE",
      "mode": "DIAGNOSTIC_CURRENT_VINTAGE",
      "paired_input_sha256": "5f977ccd06240643eb1787d214b7ec31c0a92df1fcb1e40014ba710c218a8064",
      "point_in_time_proven": false,
      "quote_volume": "raw_close_times_raw_volume_proxy",
      "raw_label_convention": "raw_open_cash_accrual_fixed_release_v2",
      "raw_label_input_sha256": "e8e1b01cd0f10308d0a2d2717e5cf8e74dff49810ab4137e34b763993d85de5a",
      "raw_label_mode": "DIAGNOSTIC_CURRENT_VINTAGE",
      "retrospective_vintage_ms": 1789214263591,
      "risk_prices": "synthetic_returns_raw_position_marks_v1"
    },
    "instrument_ids": [
      "XUSE:CASH:DBAUSD",
      "XUSE:CASH:DBCUSD",
      "XUSE:CASH:EEMUSD",
      "XUSE:CASH:EFAUSD",
      "XUSE:CASH:FXEUSD",
      "XUSE:CASH:FXYUSD",
      "XUSE:CASH:GLDUSD",
      "XUSE:CASH:IEFUSD",
      "XUSE:CASH:IWMUSD",
      "XUSE:CASH:QQQUSD",
      "XUSE:CASH:SHYUSD",
      "XUSE:CASH:SLVUSD",
      "XUSE:CASH:SPYUSD",
      "XUSE:CASH:TLTUSD",
      "XUSE:CASH:UNGUSD",
      "XUSE:CASH:USOUSD",
      "XUSE:CASH:UUPUSD"
    ],
    "metric_basis": "xnys_252_sessions_elapsed_cagr_v1",
    "no_trade_band": 0.001,
    "rebalance_bars": 10,
    "resolved_settings": {
      "costs": {
        "default_half_spread_bps": 2.5,
        "equity_borrow_bps_annual": 50.0,
        "equity_commission_bps": 1.0,
        "equity_half_spread_bps": 3.0,
        "impact_coef": 1.0,
        "latency_addon_bps": 2.0,
        "perp_maker_bps": 2.0,
        "perp_taker_bps": 5.0
      },
      "data": {
        "asset_class": "equity",
        "backfill_start": "2001-01-01T00:00:00Z",
        "exchange": "polygon",
        "ingest_grace_ms": 30000,
        "timeframe": "1d"
      },
      "live": {
        "cycle_grace_s": 90,
        "paper": true,
        "tick_sleep_s": 45
      },
      "portfolio": {
        "dollar_neutral": false,
        "gross_max": 1.0,
        "net_max": 1.0,
        "no_trade_band": 0.001,
        "rank_top_k": null,
        "risk_aversion": 7.0,
        "turnover_max": 0.1,
        "vol_scale_max": 3.0,
        "vol_target_ann": 0.15,
        "w_max": 0.34
      },
      "quality": {
        "bad_print_reversion_frac": 0.5,
        "bad_print_vol_frac": 0.25,
        "downtime_frac": 0.8,
        "ewma_span_bars": 168,
        "min_history_bars": 24,
        "outlier_k": 8.0,
        "stale_run_bars": 12
      },
      "risk": {
        "clamp_reduce_only_adv": true,
        "dd_flat_halt": -0.45,
        "dd_halve_gross": -0.3,
        "flat_cooldown_bars": 336,
        "max_gross": 1.0,
        "max_net": 1.0,
        "max_order_adv_frac": 0.01,
        "max_position_frac": 0.34,
        "price_collar_frac": 0.05,
        "staleness_max_bars": 2,
        "var_confidence": 0.99,
        "var_window_days": 365
      },
      "signals": {
        "horizon_bars": 21,
        "ic_target": 0.02
      },
      "universe": {
        "entry_rank": 20,
        "exit_rank": 25,
        "rank_window_days": 30,
        "rebalance": "monthly",
        "size": 20
      }
    },
    "start": 1420156800000,
    "trend_blend_normalization": "cross_sectional_zscore",
    "trend_ic_history_anchor": 1325548800000,
    "trend_label_availability": "raw_cash_exit_session_close_v2"
  },
  "content_hash": "sha256:39a662e7cca629f2ff31f5137dbd72aa769eb320bdbb246efff8d0a4abb36114",
  "hypothesis_key": "2877bd5fcfbf7967",
  "immutable_first_measurement": {
    "config": {
      "allocator": "trend",
      "alpha_names": [
        "mf_trend_63",
        "mf_trend_126",
        "mf_trend_252"
      ],
      "cov_halflife_days": null,
      "cov_min_periods": 240,
      "cov_window_bars": 720,
      "end": 1789171200000,
      "evaluation_policy": "continuous_retrospective_payable_book_v1",
      "history_start": 1325548800000,
      "implementation_manifest_sha256": "c138ef478493f744f7f55ec9bfb9e2a7aff7bf3057b43ce6ee5b89d8be122b3a",
      "initial_cash": 100000.0,
      "input_binding": {
        "execution_mode": "RETROSPECTIVE_CURRENT_VINTAGE",
        "mode": "DIAGNOSTIC_CURRENT_VINTAGE",
        "paired_input_sha256": "5f977ccd06240643eb1787d214b7ec31c0a92df1fcb1e40014ba710c218a8064",
        "point_in_time_proven": false,
        "quote_volume": "raw_close_times_raw_volume_proxy",
        "raw_label_convention": "raw_open_cash_accrual_fixed_release_v2",
        "raw_label_input_sha256": "e8e1b01cd0f10308d0a2d2717e5cf8e74dff49810ab4137e34b763993d85de5a",
        "raw_label_mode": "DIAGNOSTIC_CURRENT_VINTAGE",
        "retrospective_vintage_ms": 1789214263591,
        "risk_prices": "synthetic_returns_raw_position_marks_v1"
      },
      "instrument_ids": [
        "XUSE:CASH:DBAUSD",
        "XUSE:CASH:DBCUSD",
        "XUSE:CASH:EEMUSD",
        "XUSE:CASH:EFAUSD",
        "XUSE:CASH:FXEUSD",
        "XUSE:CASH:FXYUSD",
        "XUSE:CASH:GLDUSD",
        "XUSE:CASH:IEFUSD",
        "XUSE:CASH:IWMUSD",
        "XUSE:CASH:QQQUSD",
        "XUSE:CASH:SHYUSD",
        "XUSE:CASH:SLVUSD",
        "XUSE:CASH:SPYUSD",
        "XUSE:CASH:TLTUSD",
        "XUSE:CASH:UNGUSD",
        "XUSE:CASH:USOUSD",
        "XUSE:CASH:UUPUSD"
      ],
      "metric_basis": "xnys_252_sessions_elapsed_cagr_v1",
      "no_trade_band": 0.001,
      "rebalance_bars": 10,
      "resolved_settings": {
        "costs": {
          "default_half_spread_bps": 2.5,
          "equity_borrow_bps_annual": 50.0,
          "equity_commission_bps": 1.0,
          "equity_half_spread_bps": 3.0,
          "impact_coef": 1.0,
          "latency_addon_bps": 2.0,
          "perp_maker_bps": 2.0,
          "perp_taker_bps": 5.0
        },
        "data": {
          "asset_class": "equity",
          "backfill_start": "2001-01-01T00:00:00Z",
          "exchange": "polygon",
          "ingest_grace_ms": 30000,
          "timeframe": "1d"
        },
        "live": {
          "cycle_grace_s": 90,
          "paper": true,
          "tick_sleep_s": 45
        },
        "portfolio": {
          "dollar_neutral": false,
          "gross_max": 1.0,
          "net_max": 1.0,
          "no_trade_band": 0.001,
          "rank_top_k": null,
          "risk_aversion": 7.0,
          "turnover_max": 0.1,
          "vol_scale_max": 3.0,
          "vol_target_ann": 0.15,
          "w_max": 0.34
        },
        "quality": {
          "bad_print_reversion_frac": 0.5,
          "bad_print_vol_frac": 0.25,
          "downtime_frac": 0.8,
          "ewma_span_bars": 168,
          "min_history_bars": 24,
          "outlier_k": 8.0,
          "stale_run_bars": 12
        },
        "risk": {
          "clamp_reduce_only_adv": true,
          "dd_flat_halt": -0.45,
          "dd_halve_gross": -0.3,
          "flat_cooldown_bars": 336,
          "max_gross": 1.0,
          "max_net": 1.0,
          "max_order_adv_frac": 0.01,
          "max_position_frac": 0.34,
          "price_collar_frac": 0.05,
          "staleness_max_bars": 2,
          "var_confidence": 0.99,
          "var_window_days": 365
        },
        "signals": {
          "horizon_bars": 21,
          "ic_target": 0.02
        },
        "universe": {
          "entry_rank": 20,
          "exit_rank": 25,
          "rank_window_days": 30,
          "rebalance": "monthly",
          "size": 20
        }
      },
      "start": 1420156800000,
      "trend_blend_normalization": "cross_sectional_zscore",
      "trend_ic_history_anchor": 1325548800000,
      "trend_label_availability": "raw_cash_exit_session_close_v2"
    },
    "config_hash": "bfabd729109ca9ce",
    "kurtosis": 6.463113737449765,
    "n_obs": 2939,
    "now_ms": 1789214762502,
    "sharpe_ann": 0.19717420556774473,
    "sharpe_per_period": 0.012420807449737612,
    "skew": -0.26708934049847594
  },
  "imported_from_external_tree": {
    "external_content_hash": "sha256:68206d078ee8e6574af3bd3903c222924bed760199a459d8cdb7e636b8620071",
    "imported_on": "2026-09-14T19:35:24+00:00",
    "tree": "/Users/arhancanli/alphac-prospective-pause-20260911"
  },
  "missing_sections": [],
  "packet_status": "COMPLETE_ACCOUNTING_FINAL_KILLED_NOT_ADMITTED",
  "partial_sections": [],
  "required_sections": {
    "admission_or_kill_decision": {
      "evidence": [
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/reservation.json",
          "sha256": "24ff8b495294eebd424ee9d633ef52fd15d14901a145a3e7f6a2f393312c7393"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/preregistration.json",
          "sha256": "eefa1cf1a45e6e6a9b0d4af2a8667929a41d928e0ec8be1645c7c12747b8ed87"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/reservation_validation.json",
          "sha256": "bd4dbd76720b10b478bde8632cda9cdf27997bca886559c2f745e660f339ccce"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/experiments.jsonl",
          "sha256": "f6b46c5f0f6d6b4aa987247411085814db383f7d393473069534dcc5edc87044"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/result.json",
          "sha256": "21f4bb9157510a429af184b5ab8826f1e3a001a39e5a5d977df3bd17243325a2"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/REPORT.md",
          "sha256": "7cd7df79f8bb07d07e6511a0465d1b7e1bbf5d253eb759d86df0167fe87b5317"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/run/run_meta.json",
          "sha256": "df21115c35a60816fb1773eb69426e51740c314ffa5a37a8ccd5b68badb9afbf"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/run/session_summary.json",
          "sha256": "32da3358fc9eb17a12e38f95cbbd3c5e1852f6979197223dfdcb1f53c03c7b82"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/protocol.json",
          "sha256": "fbe71a55d99af64516f943982b640097b47235951c6910719e5d1865fb5c03ff"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/input_manifest.json",
          "sha256": "c138ef478493f744f7f55ec9bfb9e2a7aff7bf3057b43ce6ee5b89d8be122b3a"
        },
        {
          "content_hash": "sha256:b560310bdd03f47d2bbb734794b41f41a417c94a6deeefb3c2f5c7fc3762eae4",
          "path": "artifacts/research/development_closures/2877bd5fcfbf7967_admission_closure.json",
          "sha256": "103ffaf1806751a0bb03e805118db2941202ebbab094e015faaafaf5cf6c1907",
          "type": "final_development_admission_closure"
        }
      ],
      "statement": "Current-vintage development comparison on inspected history; explicit raw fills and payable dividends. Modeled costs/borrow, static metadata, no contemporaneous publication or historical borrow proof. No untouched test, independent reproduction, capacity validation or admission. Accounting complete; comparative decision follows both fixed arms.",
      "status": "VERIFIED_FINAL_DEVELOPMENT_CLOSURE_KILL"
    },
    "code_environment_and_reproduction": {
      "evidence": [
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/reservation.json",
          "sha256": "24ff8b495294eebd424ee9d633ef52fd15d14901a145a3e7f6a2f393312c7393"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/preregistration.json",
          "sha256": "eefa1cf1a45e6e6a9b0d4af2a8667929a41d928e0ec8be1645c7c12747b8ed87"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/reservation_validation.json",
          "sha256": "bd4dbd76720b10b478bde8632cda9cdf27997bca886559c2f745e660f339ccce"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/experiments.jsonl",
          "sha256": "f6b46c5f0f6d6b4aa987247411085814db383f7d393473069534dcc5edc87044"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/result.json",
          "sha256": "21f4bb9157510a429af184b5ab8826f1e3a001a39e5a5d977df3bd17243325a2"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/REPORT.md",
          "sha256": "7cd7df79f8bb07d07e6511a0465d1b7e1bbf5d253eb759d86df0167fe87b5317"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/run/run_meta.json",
          "sha256": "df21115c35a60816fb1773eb69426e51740c314ffa5a37a8ccd5b68badb9afbf"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/run/session_summary.json",
          "sha256": "32da3358fc9eb17a12e38f95cbbd3c5e1852f6979197223dfdcb1f53c03c7b82"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/protocol.json",
          "sha256": "fbe71a55d99af64516f943982b640097b47235951c6910719e5d1865fb5c03ff"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/input_manifest.json",
          "sha256": "c138ef478493f744f7f55ec9bfb9e2a7aff7bf3057b43ce6ee5b89d8be122b3a"
        }
      ],
      "statement": "Current-vintage development comparison on inspected history; explicit raw fills and payable dividends. Modeled costs/borrow, static metadata, no contemporaneous publication or historical borrow proof. No untouched test, independent reproduction, capacity validation or admission. Accounting complete; comparative decision follows both fixed arms.",
      "status": "MEASURED_EVIDENCE_OR_EXPLICIT_BOUND_LIMITATION"
    },
    "economic_mechanism_and_falsifiable_hypothesis": {
      "evidence": [
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/reservation.json",
          "sha256": "24ff8b495294eebd424ee9d633ef52fd15d14901a145a3e7f6a2f393312c7393"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/preregistration.json",
          "sha256": "eefa1cf1a45e6e6a9b0d4af2a8667929a41d928e0ec8be1645c7c12747b8ed87"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/reservation_validation.json",
          "sha256": "bd4dbd76720b10b478bde8632cda9cdf27997bca886559c2f745e660f339ccce"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/experiments.jsonl",
          "sha256": "f6b46c5f0f6d6b4aa987247411085814db383f7d393473069534dcc5edc87044"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/result.json",
          "sha256": "21f4bb9157510a429af184b5ab8826f1e3a001a39e5a5d977df3bd17243325a2"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/REPORT.md",
          "sha256": "7cd7df79f8bb07d07e6511a0465d1b7e1bbf5d253eb759d86df0167fe87b5317"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/run/run_meta.json",
          "sha256": "df21115c35a60816fb1773eb69426e51740c314ffa5a37a8ccd5b68badb9afbf"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/run/session_summary.json",
          "sha256": "32da3358fc9eb17a12e38f95cbbd3c5e1852f6979197223dfdcb1f53c03c7b82"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/protocol.json",
          "sha256": "fbe71a55d99af64516f943982b640097b47235951c6910719e5d1865fb5c03ff"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/input_manifest.json",
          "sha256": "c138ef478493f744f7f55ec9bfb9e2a7aff7bf3057b43ce6ee5b89d8be122b3a"
        }
      ],
      "statement": "Current-vintage development comparison on inspected history; explicit raw fills and payable dividends. Modeled costs/borrow, static metadata, no contemporaneous publication or historical borrow proof. No untouched test, independent reproduction, capacity validation or admission. Accounting complete; comparative decision follows both fixed arms.",
      "status": "MEASURED_EVIDENCE_OR_EXPLICIT_BOUND_LIMITATION"
    },
    "execution_and_cost_model": {
      "evidence": [
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/reservation.json",
          "sha256": "24ff8b495294eebd424ee9d633ef52fd15d14901a145a3e7f6a2f393312c7393"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/preregistration.json",
          "sha256": "eefa1cf1a45e6e6a9b0d4af2a8667929a41d928e0ec8be1645c7c12747b8ed87"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/reservation_validation.json",
          "sha256": "bd4dbd76720b10b478bde8632cda9cdf27997bca886559c2f745e660f339ccce"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/experiments.jsonl",
          "sha256": "f6b46c5f0f6d6b4aa987247411085814db383f7d393473069534dcc5edc87044"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/result.json",
          "sha256": "21f4bb9157510a429af184b5ab8826f1e3a001a39e5a5d977df3bd17243325a2"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/REPORT.md",
          "sha256": "7cd7df79f8bb07d07e6511a0465d1b7e1bbf5d253eb759d86df0167fe87b5317"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/run/run_meta.json",
          "sha256": "df21115c35a60816fb1773eb69426e51740c314ffa5a37a8ccd5b68badb9afbf"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/run/session_summary.json",
          "sha256": "32da3358fc9eb17a12e38f95cbbd3c5e1852f6979197223dfdcb1f53c03c7b82"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/protocol.json",
          "sha256": "fbe71a55d99af64516f943982b640097b47235951c6910719e5d1865fb5c03ff"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/input_manifest.json",
          "sha256": "c138ef478493f744f7f55ec9bfb9e2a7aff7bf3057b43ce6ee5b89d8be122b3a"
        }
      ],
      "statement": "Current-vintage development comparison on inspected history; explicit raw fills and payable dividends. Modeled costs/borrow, static metadata, no contemporaneous publication or historical borrow proof. No untouched test, independent reproduction, capacity validation or admission. Accounting complete; comparative decision follows both fixed arms.",
      "status": "MEASURED_EVIDENCE_OR_EXPLICIT_BOUND_LIMITATION"
    },
    "family_and_union_trial_accounting": {
      "evidence": [
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/reservation.json",
          "sha256": "24ff8b495294eebd424ee9d633ef52fd15d14901a145a3e7f6a2f393312c7393"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/preregistration.json",
          "sha256": "eefa1cf1a45e6e6a9b0d4af2a8667929a41d928e0ec8be1645c7c12747b8ed87"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/reservation_validation.json",
          "sha256": "bd4dbd76720b10b478bde8632cda9cdf27997bca886559c2f745e660f339ccce"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/experiments.jsonl",
          "sha256": "f6b46c5f0f6d6b4aa987247411085814db383f7d393473069534dcc5edc87044"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/result.json",
          "sha256": "21f4bb9157510a429af184b5ab8826f1e3a001a39e5a5d977df3bd17243325a2"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/REPORT.md",
          "sha256": "7cd7df79f8bb07d07e6511a0465d1b7e1bbf5d253eb759d86df0167fe87b5317"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/run/run_meta.json",
          "sha256": "df21115c35a60816fb1773eb69426e51740c314ffa5a37a8ccd5b68badb9afbf"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/run/session_summary.json",
          "sha256": "32da3358fc9eb17a12e38f95cbbd3c5e1852f6979197223dfdcb1f53c03c7b82"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/protocol.json",
          "sha256": "fbe71a55d99af64516f943982b640097b47235951c6910719e5d1865fb5c03ff"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/input_manifest.json",
          "sha256": "c138ef478493f744f7f55ec9bfb9e2a7aff7bf3057b43ce6ee5b89d8be122b3a"
        }
      ],
      "statement": "Current-vintage development comparison on inspected history; explicit raw fills and payable dividends. Modeled costs/borrow, static metadata, no contemporaneous publication or historical borrow proof. No untouched test, independent reproduction, capacity validation or admission. Accounting complete; comparative decision follows both fixed arms.",
      "status": "MEASURED_EVIDENCE_OR_EXPLICIT_BOUND_LIMITATION"
    },
    "identity_and_authorship": {
      "evidence": [
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/reservation.json",
          "sha256": "24ff8b495294eebd424ee9d633ef52fd15d14901a145a3e7f6a2f393312c7393"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/preregistration.json",
          "sha256": "eefa1cf1a45e6e6a9b0d4af2a8667929a41d928e0ec8be1645c7c12747b8ed87"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/reservation_validation.json",
          "sha256": "bd4dbd76720b10b478bde8632cda9cdf27997bca886559c2f745e660f339ccce"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/experiments.jsonl",
          "sha256": "f6b46c5f0f6d6b4aa987247411085814db383f7d393473069534dcc5edc87044"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/result.json",
          "sha256": "21f4bb9157510a429af184b5ab8826f1e3a001a39e5a5d977df3bd17243325a2"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/REPORT.md",
          "sha256": "7cd7df79f8bb07d07e6511a0465d1b7e1bbf5d253eb759d86df0167fe87b5317"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/run/run_meta.json",
          "sha256": "df21115c35a60816fb1773eb69426e51740c314ffa5a37a8ccd5b68badb9afbf"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/run/session_summary.json",
          "sha256": "32da3358fc9eb17a12e38f95cbbd3c5e1852f6979197223dfdcb1f53c03c7b82"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/protocol.json",
          "sha256": "fbe71a55d99af64516f943982b640097b47235951c6910719e5d1865fb5c03ff"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/input_manifest.json",
          "sha256": "c138ef478493f744f7f55ec9bfb9e2a7aff7bf3057b43ce6ee5b89d8be122b3a"
        }
      ],
      "statement": "Current-vintage development comparison on inspected history; explicit raw fills and payable dividends. Modeled costs/borrow, static metadata, no contemporaneous publication or historical borrow proof. No untouched test, independent reproduction, capacity validation or admission. Accounting complete; comparative decision follows both fixed arms.",
      "status": "MEASURED_EVIDENCE_OR_EXPLICIT_BOUND_LIMITATION"
    },
    "literature_and_overlap_decision": {
      "evidence": [
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/reservation.json",
          "sha256": "24ff8b495294eebd424ee9d633ef52fd15d14901a145a3e7f6a2f393312c7393"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/preregistration.json",
          "sha256": "eefa1cf1a45e6e6a9b0d4af2a8667929a41d928e0ec8be1645c7c12747b8ed87"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/reservation_validation.json",
          "sha256": "bd4dbd76720b10b478bde8632cda9cdf27997bca886559c2f745e660f339ccce"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/experiments.jsonl",
          "sha256": "f6b46c5f0f6d6b4aa987247411085814db383f7d393473069534dcc5edc87044"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/result.json",
          "sha256": "21f4bb9157510a429af184b5ab8826f1e3a001a39e5a5d977df3bd17243325a2"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/REPORT.md",
          "sha256": "7cd7df79f8bb07d07e6511a0465d1b7e1bbf5d253eb759d86df0167fe87b5317"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/run/run_meta.json",
          "sha256": "df21115c35a60816fb1773eb69426e51740c314ffa5a37a8ccd5b68badb9afbf"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/run/session_summary.json",
          "sha256": "32da3358fc9eb17a12e38f95cbbd3c5e1852f6979197223dfdcb1f53c03c7b82"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/protocol.json",
          "sha256": "fbe71a55d99af64516f943982b640097b47235951c6910719e5d1865fb5c03ff"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/input_manifest.json",
          "sha256": "c138ef478493f744f7f55ec9bfb9e2a7aff7bf3057b43ce6ee5b89d8be122b3a"
        }
      ],
      "statement": "Current-vintage development comparison on inspected history; explicit raw fills and payable dividends. Modeled costs/borrow, static metadata, no contemporaneous publication or historical borrow proof. No untouched test, independent reproduction, capacity validation or admission. Accounting complete; comparative decision follows both fixed arms.",
      "status": "MEASURED_EVIDENCE_OR_EXPLICIT_BOUND_LIMITATION"
    },
    "machine_readable_packet_and_stable_public_paper": {
      "evidence": [
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/reservation.json",
          "sha256": "24ff8b495294eebd424ee9d633ef52fd15d14901a145a3e7f6a2f393312c7393"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/preregistration.json",
          "sha256": "eefa1cf1a45e6e6a9b0d4af2a8667929a41d928e0ec8be1645c7c12747b8ed87"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/reservation_validation.json",
          "sha256": "bd4dbd76720b10b478bde8632cda9cdf27997bca886559c2f745e660f339ccce"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/experiments.jsonl",
          "sha256": "f6b46c5f0f6d6b4aa987247411085814db383f7d393473069534dcc5edc87044"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/result.json",
          "sha256": "21f4bb9157510a429af184b5ab8826f1e3a001a39e5a5d977df3bd17243325a2"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/REPORT.md",
          "sha256": "7cd7df79f8bb07d07e6511a0465d1b7e1bbf5d253eb759d86df0167fe87b5317"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/run/run_meta.json",
          "sha256": "df21115c35a60816fb1773eb69426e51740c314ffa5a37a8ccd5b68badb9afbf"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/run/session_summary.json",
          "sha256": "32da3358fc9eb17a12e38f95cbbd3c5e1852f6979197223dfdcb1f53c03c7b82"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/protocol.json",
          "sha256": "fbe71a55d99af64516f943982b640097b47235951c6910719e5d1865fb5c03ff"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/input_manifest.json",
          "sha256": "c138ef478493f744f7f55ec9bfb9e2a7aff7bf3057b43ce6ee5b89d8be122b3a"
        }
      ],
      "statement": "Current-vintage development comparison on inspected history; explicit raw fills and payable dividends. Modeled costs/borrow, static metadata, no contemporaneous publication or historical borrow proof. No untouched test, independent reproduction, capacity validation or admission. Accounting complete; comparative decision follows both fixed arms.",
      "status": "MEASURED_EVIDENCE_OR_EXPLICIT_BOUND_LIMITATION"
    },
    "point_in_time_data_and_survivorship_controls": {
      "evidence": [
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/reservation.json",
          "sha256": "24ff8b495294eebd424ee9d633ef52fd15d14901a145a3e7f6a2f393312c7393"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/preregistration.json",
          "sha256": "eefa1cf1a45e6e6a9b0d4af2a8667929a41d928e0ec8be1645c7c12747b8ed87"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/reservation_validation.json",
          "sha256": "bd4dbd76720b10b478bde8632cda9cdf27997bca886559c2f745e660f339ccce"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/experiments.jsonl",
          "sha256": "f6b46c5f0f6d6b4aa987247411085814db383f7d393473069534dcc5edc87044"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/result.json",
          "sha256": "21f4bb9157510a429af184b5ab8826f1e3a001a39e5a5d977df3bd17243325a2"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/REPORT.md",
          "sha256": "7cd7df79f8bb07d07e6511a0465d1b7e1bbf5d253eb759d86df0167fe87b5317"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/run/run_meta.json",
          "sha256": "df21115c35a60816fb1773eb69426e51740c314ffa5a37a8ccd5b68badb9afbf"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/run/session_summary.json",
          "sha256": "32da3358fc9eb17a12e38f95cbbd3c5e1852f6979197223dfdcb1f53c03c7b82"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/protocol.json",
          "sha256": "fbe71a55d99af64516f943982b640097b47235951c6910719e5d1865fb5c03ff"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/input_manifest.json",
          "sha256": "c138ef478493f744f7f55ec9bfb9e2a7aff7bf3057b43ce6ee5b89d8be122b3a"
        }
      ],
      "statement": "Current-vintage development comparison on inspected history; explicit raw fills and payable dividends. Modeled costs/borrow, static metadata, no contemporaneous publication or historical borrow proof. No untouched test, independent reproduction, capacity validation or admission. Accounting complete; comparative decision follows both fixed arms.",
      "status": "MEASURED_EVIDENCE_OR_EXPLICIT_BOUND_LIMITATION"
    },
    "preregistration_and_hashes": {
      "evidence": [
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/reservation.json",
          "sha256": "24ff8b495294eebd424ee9d633ef52fd15d14901a145a3e7f6a2f393312c7393"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/preregistration.json",
          "sha256": "eefa1cf1a45e6e6a9b0d4af2a8667929a41d928e0ec8be1645c7c12747b8ed87"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/reservation_validation.json",
          "sha256": "bd4dbd76720b10b478bde8632cda9cdf27997bca886559c2f745e660f339ccce"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/experiments.jsonl",
          "sha256": "f6b46c5f0f6d6b4aa987247411085814db383f7d393473069534dcc5edc87044"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/result.json",
          "sha256": "21f4bb9157510a429af184b5ab8826f1e3a001a39e5a5d977df3bd17243325a2"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/REPORT.md",
          "sha256": "7cd7df79f8bb07d07e6511a0465d1b7e1bbf5d253eb759d86df0167fe87b5317"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/run/run_meta.json",
          "sha256": "df21115c35a60816fb1773eb69426e51740c314ffa5a37a8ccd5b68badb9afbf"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/run/session_summary.json",
          "sha256": "32da3358fc9eb17a12e38f95cbbd3c5e1852f6979197223dfdcb1f53c03c7b82"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/protocol.json",
          "sha256": "fbe71a55d99af64516f943982b640097b47235951c6910719e5d1865fb5c03ff"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/input_manifest.json",
          "sha256": "c138ef478493f744f7f55ec9bfb9e2a7aff7bf3057b43ce6ee5b89d8be122b3a"
        }
      ],
      "statement": "Current-vintage development comparison on inspected history; explicit raw fills and payable dividends. Modeled costs/borrow, static metadata, no contemporaneous publication or historical borrow proof. No untouched test, independent reproduction, capacity validation or admission. Accounting complete; comparative decision follows both fixed arms.",
      "status": "MEASURED_EVIDENCE_OR_EXPLICIT_BOUND_LIMITATION"
    },
    "result_uncertainty_stress_capacity_and_diversification": {
      "evidence": [
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/reservation.json",
          "sha256": "24ff8b495294eebd424ee9d633ef52fd15d14901a145a3e7f6a2f393312c7393"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/preregistration.json",
          "sha256": "eefa1cf1a45e6e6a9b0d4af2a8667929a41d928e0ec8be1645c7c12747b8ed87"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/reservation_validation.json",
          "sha256": "bd4dbd76720b10b478bde8632cda9cdf27997bca886559c2f745e660f339ccce"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/experiments.jsonl",
          "sha256": "f6b46c5f0f6d6b4aa987247411085814db383f7d393473069534dcc5edc87044"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/result.json",
          "sha256": "21f4bb9157510a429af184b5ab8826f1e3a001a39e5a5d977df3bd17243325a2"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/REPORT.md",
          "sha256": "7cd7df79f8bb07d07e6511a0465d1b7e1bbf5d253eb759d86df0167fe87b5317"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/run/run_meta.json",
          "sha256": "df21115c35a60816fb1773eb69426e51740c314ffa5a37a8ccd5b68badb9afbf"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/baseline/run/session_summary.json",
          "sha256": "32da3358fc9eb17a12e38f95cbbd3c5e1852f6979197223dfdcb1f53c03c7b82"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/protocol.json",
          "sha256": "fbe71a55d99af64516f943982b640097b47235951c6910719e5d1865fb5c03ff"
        },
        {
          "path": "artifacts/analysis/alphatrend_retrospective_comparison_20260912/input_manifest.json",
          "sha256": "c138ef478493f744f7f55ec9bfb9e2a7aff7bf3057b43ce6ee5b89d8be122b3a"
        }
      ],
      "statement": "Current-vintage development comparison on inspected history; explicit raw fills and payable dividends. Modeled costs/borrow, static metadata, no contemporaneous publication or historical borrow proof. No untouched test, independent reproduction, capacity validation or admission. Accounting complete; comparative decision follows both fixed arms.",
      "status": "MEASURED_EVIDENCE_OR_EXPLICIT_BOUND_LIMITATION"
    }
  },
  "research_family_key": "managed_futures_trend",
  "schema": "canli.alphac-identity-trial-packet.v2"
}
