{
  "author": "Arhan Canli",
  "claim_boundary": "This stable packet proves the exact identity, immutable first measurement, and current evidence state. INCOMPLETE means missing sections remain missing; packet publication is not validation, admission, or a future-return claim.",
  "complete": false,
  "completion_assessment": {
    "blockers": [
      {
        "code": "PREREGISTRATION_POSTDATES_FIRST_MEASUREMENT",
        "evidence": [
          {
            "ledger_recorded_at": "2026-06-20T13:16:33.123000+00:00"
          },
          {
            "commit": "098deec4c283433cb2771884150f8d07e90713ee",
            "committed_at": "2026-06-20T18:32:16+00:00",
            "path": "docs/design/PRE_REGISTRATION.md"
          }
        ],
        "finding": "The immutable first measurement predates the campaign preregistration commit; the later document cannot be applied retroactively.",
        "required_section": "preregistration_and_hashes"
      },
      {
        "code": "ORIGINAL_RUN_LACKS_CODE_AND_ENVIRONMENT_STAMP",
        "evidence": [
          {
            "path": "artifacts/walkforward/crypto_carry_wk/walkforward.json",
            "sha256": "a72c11172a730536336a079d26394cd926f88df06ce36cb3b5483159a99464ee"
          }
        ],
        "finding": "The exact result is preserved, but walkforward.json contains no Git SHA, runner hash, lockfile hash, or input-data manifest for the original run.",
        "required_section": "code_environment_and_reproduction"
      },
      {
        "code": "CARRY_SPECIFIC_CAPACITY_UNMEASURED",
        "evidence": [
          {
            "path": "docs/research/CRYPTO_CARRY_LINEAGE.md",
            "sha256": "0e46667d56b35494ecee7081e6bb14cdb3250bb00af8bdb55021c1b7f8ce9141"
          }
        ],
        "finding": "The family paper correctly treats the later multi-factor capacity sweep as context, not proof of carry-specific capacity.",
        "required_section": "result_uncertainty_stress_capacity_and_diversification"
      }
    ],
    "config_hash": "34e792f7bb231949",
    "status": "AUDITED_NOT_CURRENTLY_COMPLETABLE"
  },
  "config_hash": "34e792f7bb231949",
  "configuration": {
    "allocator": "rank",
    "alpha_names": [
      "carry_fund_21"
    ],
    "end": 1780272000000,
    "instrument_ids": [
      "BINANCE:PERP:1000PEPEUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:1000SHIBUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:AAVEUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:ADAUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:APEUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:APTUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:ARBUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:ATOMUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:AVAXUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:AXSUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:BCHUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:BLZUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:BNBUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:BTCUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:CHZUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:COMPUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:CRVUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:DOGEUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:DOTUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:EOSUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:ETCUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:ETHUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:FILUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:FTMUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:GALAUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:ICPUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:INJUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:LDOUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:LINAUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:LINKUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:LRCUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:LTCUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:LUNAUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:MANAUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:MATICUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:MKRUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:NEARUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:OCEANUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:OPUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:REEFUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:RNDRUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:RUNEUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:SANDUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:SEIUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:SOLUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:SUIUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:SUSHIUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:SXPUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:THETAUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:TIAUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:TOMOUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:TRXUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:UNIUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:VETUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:WAVESUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:WLDUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:XLMUSDT",
      "BINANCE:PERP:XRPUSDT"
    ],
    "no_trade_band": 0.001,
    "rebalance_bars": 168,
    "start": 1622505600000,
    "test_bars": 1512,
    "train_bars": 6048
  },
  "content_hash": "sha256:5802584c3b19a86beb4545de387e9566f33ee69d228e834dbd9249fe48417889",
  "evidence_date": "2026-08-22",
  "family_paper_public_path": "/research/crypto-carry-lineage.md",
  "hypothesis_key": "6d151a184bf3e743",
  "immutable_first_measurement": {
    "annualized_sharpe": 0.6766103810860954,
    "kurtosis": 12.429745446680178,
    "ledger_source_path": "var/experiments.jsonl",
    "ledger_source_sha256": "b5a318c0997d980575f758451f509e0154eecbbb50d734e49a587d473062bd08",
    "observations": 1574,
    "recorded_at_unix_ms": 1781961393123,
    "skew": -0.5965925879770567
  },
  "label": "carry_fund_21",
  "missing_sections": [
    "preregistration_and_hashes",
    "point_in_time_data_and_survivorship_controls",
    "execution_and_cost_model",
    "result_uncertainty_stress_capacity_and_diversification",
    "admission_or_kill_decision",
    "code_environment_and_reproduction"
  ],
  "packet_status": "INCOMPLETE_BACKFILL_REQUIRED",
  "required_sections": {
    "admission_or_kill_decision": {
      "evidence": [],
      "status": "MISSING_IDENTITY_LEVEL_EVIDENCE"
    },
    "code_environment_and_reproduction": {
      "evidence": [],
      "status": "MISSING_IDENTITY_LEVEL_EVIDENCE"
    },
    "economic_mechanism_and_falsifiable_hypothesis": {
      "evidence": [
        {
          "public_path": "/research/crypto-carry-lineage.md",
          "type": "family_paper"
        }
      ],
      "status": "VERIFIED_SHARED_FAMILY_EVIDENCE"
    },
    "execution_and_cost_model": {
      "evidence": [],
      "status": "MISSING_IDENTITY_LEVEL_EVIDENCE"
    },
    "family_and_union_trial_accounting": {
      "evidence": [
        {
          "public_path": "/research/crypto-carry-lineage.md",
          "type": "family_paper"
        }
      ],
      "status": "VERIFIED_SHARED_FAMILY_EVIDENCE"
    },
    "identity_and_authorship": {
      "evidence": [
        {
          "public_path": "/research/crypto-carry-lineage.md",
          "type": "family_paper"
        }
      ],
      "status": "VERIFIED_SHARED_FAMILY_EVIDENCE"
    },
    "literature_and_overlap_decision": {
      "evidence": [
        {
          "public_path": "/research/crypto-carry-lineage.md",
          "type": "family_paper"
        }
      ],
      "status": "VERIFIED_SHARED_FAMILY_EVIDENCE"
    },
    "machine_readable_packet_and_stable_public_paper": {
      "evidence": [
        {
          "public_path": "/research/crypto-carry-lineage.md",
          "type": "family_paper"
        }
      ],
      "status": "VERIFIED_SHARED_FAMILY_EVIDENCE"
    },
    "point_in_time_data_and_survivorship_controls": {
      "evidence": [],
      "status": "MISSING_IDENTITY_LEVEL_EVIDENCE"
    },
    "preregistration_and_hashes": {
      "evidence": [],
      "status": "MISSING_IDENTITY_LEVEL_EVIDENCE"
    },
    "result_uncertainty_stress_capacity_and_diversification": {
      "evidence": [],
      "status": "MISSING_IDENTITY_LEVEL_EVIDENCE"
    }
  },
  "research_family_key": "crypto_carry",
  "schema": "canli.alphac-identity-trial-packet.v1",
  "verified_sections": [
    "identity_and_authorship",
    "economic_mechanism_and_falsifiable_hypothesis",
    "literature_and_overlap_decision",
    "family_and_union_trial_accounting",
    "machine_readable_packet_and_stable_public_paper"
  ]
}