{
  "author": "Arhan Canli",
  "claim_boundary": "This stable packet proves the exact identity, immutable first measurement, and current evidence state. INCOMPLETE means missing sections remain missing; packet publication is not validation, admission, or a future-return claim.",
  "complete": true,
  "completion_assessment": {
    "blockers": [],
    "claim_boundary": "Every required packet section is verified.",
    "status": "COMPLETE"
  },
  "config_hash": "ccde1e9dc1523998",
  "configuration": {
    "costs": {
      "DBC": 0.0003,
      "UGA": 0.001,
      "USO": 0.0006
    },
    "entry": "next_session_open_after_release",
    "hedge": "trailing_252_session_dbc_beta_clamped_-3_3",
    "mechanism": "eia_first_release_petroleum_inventory_scarcity",
    "oos_start": "2016-01-01",
    "prereg": "docs/design/PREREG_EIA_PETROLEUM_INVENTORY.md",
    "probe": "eia_petroleum_inventory",
    "products": [
      "USO",
      "UGA"
    ],
    "scale_weeks": 52,
    "score_clip": [
      -3.0,
      3.0
    ],
    "seasonal_years": 5
  },
  "content_hash": "sha256:1a5c086f057cfd8d9099bc993b82bb68e5cff6384e955a164315d1b148c8e892",
  "evidence_date": "2026-08-22",
  "family_paper_public_path": "/research/energy-inventory-lineage.md",
  "hypothesis_key": "8446702cb8dd1768",
  "immutable_first_measurement": {
    "annualized_sharpe": -0.5893138450004753,
    "kurtosis": 30.224506678313656,
    "ledger_source_path": "var/experiments.jsonl",
    "ledger_source_sha256": "b5a318c0997d980575f758451f509e0154eecbbb50d734e49a587d473062bd08",
    "observations": 2669,
    "recorded_at_unix_ms": 1786811196211,
    "skew": -1.5156582682335131
  },
  "label": "eia_petroleum_inventory",
  "missing_sections": [],
  "packet_status": "COMPLETE_EVIDENCED_KILL",
  "required_sections": {
    "admission_or_kill_decision": {
      "evidence": [
        {
          "public_path": "/glassbox/eia_petroleum_inventory_result.json",
          "sha256": "949f2b073b96fd8068519dca06ff9a54ed79778535b67ad66da4b23e06ae8694",
          "source_path": "artifacts/probe/eia_petroleum_inventory/result.json",
          "type": "kill_result"
        },
        {
          "sha256": "5f628a44ae73ed9c412b225ac9dc56c4e59c1bc0645e2ebde251501e938b9932",
          "source_path": "config/sleeve_admission_contract.json",
          "type": "admission_contract_v6"
        }
      ],
      "status": "VERIFIED_IDENTITY_LEVEL_EVIDENCE"
    },
    "code_environment_and_reproduction": {
      "evidence": [
        {
          "sha256": "7369f31b47adb04e401e85dd62f4c8acffb5e7c1fd768b7ed1beb54b4da8a00f",
          "source_path": "scripts/probe_eia_petroleum_inventory.py",
          "type": "executable_runner"
        },
        {
          "sha256": "ddaf8b60999275f6d3fb93b3073f256d75d1383bfc8bab14263dc58645841006",
          "source_path": "pyproject.toml",
          "type": "python_project"
        },
        {
          "sha256": "5caca664242722a3a3112663d7a19b7b5000583e30ade3753e1b8ffdecfd6f06",
          "source_path": "uv.lock",
          "type": "locked_environment"
        }
      ],
      "status": "VERIFIED_IDENTITY_LEVEL_EVIDENCE"
    },
    "economic_mechanism_and_falsifiable_hypothesis": {
      "evidence": [
        {
          "public_path": "/research/energy-inventory-lineage.md",
          "type": "family_paper"
        }
      ],
      "status": "VERIFIED_SHARED_FAMILY_EVIDENCE"
    },
    "execution_and_cost_model": {
      "evidence": [
        {
          "sha256": "7369f31b47adb04e401e85dd62f4c8acffb5e7c1fd768b7ed1beb54b4da8a00f",
          "source_path": "scripts/probe_eia_petroleum_inventory.py",
          "type": "executable_runner"
        },
        {
          "public_path": "/glassbox/eia_petroleum_inventory_result.json",
          "sha256": "949f2b073b96fd8068519dca06ff9a54ed79778535b67ad66da4b23e06ae8694",
          "source_path": "artifacts/probe/eia_petroleum_inventory/result.json",
          "type": "result_with_cost_stress"
        }
      ],
      "status": "VERIFIED_IDENTITY_LEVEL_EVIDENCE"
    },
    "family_and_union_trial_accounting": {
      "evidence": [
        {
          "public_path": "/research/energy-inventory-lineage.md",
          "type": "family_paper"
        }
      ],
      "status": "VERIFIED_SHARED_FAMILY_EVIDENCE"
    },
    "identity_and_authorship": {
      "evidence": [
        {
          "public_path": "/research/energy-inventory-lineage.md",
          "type": "family_paper"
        }
      ],
      "status": "VERIFIED_SHARED_FAMILY_EVIDENCE"
    },
    "literature_and_overlap_decision": {
      "evidence": [
        {
          "public_path": "/research/energy-inventory-lineage.md",
          "type": "family_paper"
        }
      ],
      "status": "VERIFIED_SHARED_FAMILY_EVIDENCE"
    },
    "machine_readable_packet_and_stable_public_paper": {
      "evidence": [
        {
          "public_path": "/research/energy-inventory-lineage.md",
          "type": "family_paper"
        }
      ],
      "status": "VERIFIED_SHARED_FAMILY_EVIDENCE"
    },
    "point_in_time_data_and_survivorship_controls": {
      "evidence": [
        {
          "public_path": "/glassbox/eia_petroleum_inventory_input_data_manifest.json",
          "sha256": "80e62a4db5a79055b8899660d71e8e30b474e4af3172ff8aa6238efe61bddddd",
          "source_path": "artifacts/probe/eia_petroleum_inventory/input_data_manifest.json",
          "type": "validated_first_release_and_market_input_manifest"
        },
        {
          "sha256": "386577605c5bea567ce166efbf600419f79858ff20ed57a68b625bc1da4c9623",
          "source_path": "data/lake_inventory_releases/manifest.json",
          "type": "dated_first_release_manifest"
        }
      ],
      "status": "VERIFIED_IDENTITY_LEVEL_EVIDENCE"
    },
    "preregistration_and_hashes": {
      "evidence": [
        {
          "sha256": "dc1f7dd8888a51c1b53fe3b04c4fd941d2027075e2b7150c72941736d740e66c",
          "source_path": "docs/design/PREREG_EIA_PETROLEUM_INVENTORY.md",
          "type": "preregistration"
        }
      ],
      "status": "VERIFIED_IDENTITY_LEVEL_EVIDENCE"
    },
    "result_uncertainty_stress_capacity_and_diversification": {
      "evidence": [
        {
          "public_path": "/glassbox/eia_petroleum_inventory_result.json",
          "sha256": "949f2b073b96fd8068519dca06ff9a54ed79778535b67ad66da4b23e06ae8694",
          "source_path": "artifacts/probe/eia_petroleum_inventory/result.json",
          "type": "full_result"
        },
        {
          "sha256": "3345a48fadac6017c3d93a0bf7ced4686642be0327b3ad9fcdedca4a081cb55b",
          "source_path": "artifacts/probe/eia_petroleum_inventory/equity.parquet",
          "type": "complete_oos_curve"
        },
        {
          "sha256": "e7e4adeb0d9fff678996c1358069379e15a1af38605ea5881a5859151dcbf801",
          "source_path": "artifacts/probe/eia_petroleum_inventory/scores.parquet",
          "type": "locked_scores"
        },
        {
          "sha256": "1cbb9e62bac715e91ddf6579a6fb46fcc6a1681b183bb2c0152015c9f1222a0c",
          "source_path": "artifacts/probe/eia_petroleum_inventory/weights.parquet",
          "type": "portfolio_weights"
        }
      ],
      "status": "VERIFIED_IDENTITY_LEVEL_EVIDENCE"
    }
  },
  "research_family_key": "energy_inventory",
  "schema": "canli.alphac-identity-trial-packet.v1",
  "verified_sections": [
    "identity_and_authorship",
    "economic_mechanism_and_falsifiable_hypothesis",
    "literature_and_overlap_decision",
    "family_and_union_trial_accounting",
    "machine_readable_packet_and_stable_public_paper",
    "preregistration_and_hashes",
    "point_in_time_data_and_survivorship_controls",
    "execution_and_cost_model",
    "result_uncertainty_stress_capacity_and_diversification",
    "admission_or_kill_decision",
    "code_environment_and_reproduction"
  ]
}