@techreport{canli2026killpmoddssignal,
  author      = {Canli, Arhan},
  title       = {Prediction-Market Odds as Macro Signal (probe): a killed candidate},
  institution = {Canli Capital},
  type        = {Open quantitative research report},
  year        = {2026},
  url         = {https://canlicapital.com/research/kill-pm-odds-signal}
}