Cftc release reachability
Cftc release reachability is one of 38 measurements this engine publishes in full. It is regenerated from a real run rather than transcribed, and it is shown here with its own claim boundary so the number and its limits arrive together.
The measurement
- Author
- Arhan Canli
- Content hash
- sha256:e35a0a19e19298bd194fb57d509ae423a7c5956460325d06f4fc3fa028d5d919
- Decision
- UNREACHABLE_AS_PREREGISTERED
- Family
- cftc_hedging_pressure
- Hypotheses spent
- 0
- Return data opened
- no
- Schema
- canli.alphac-cftc-release-reachability.v1
- Verdict
- HISTORICAL_RELEASE_LINEAGE_CEILING_BELOW_GATE
Lineage
- Classification
- RETIRED_KILLED
- Events sha256
- sha256:8dcc786360279c0448c9600f4d7e7bf4f120a64fa3bbcd4b525ab6d44b7843a8
- Feasibility sha256
- sha256:7d4eb8d0c4993a892dcff924247d2da78e94b7deec521a2289de0882930e7299
- Lineage registry sha256
- sha256:568f184a42fa815725b7e8fcb48ec701564f1ed9cfd6d991fcc5ea5d379d3ecf
Aliases
- cot_positioning
Evidence
- public_kill_ledger#screen_stage_kills:cot_positioning
Measured ceiling
- Available window cutoff
- 2025-07-11
- Date weighted exact lineage ceiling
- 0.054131
- Dates in best case available window
- 57
- First report date
- 2006-06-13
- Last report date
- 2026-08-11
- Row weighted exact lineage ceiling
- 0.083685
- Rows in best case available window
- 15371
- Shortfall to required rate
- 0.866315
- Total distinct report dates
- 1053
- Total rows
- 183676
Ceiling assumption. Best case: every observation in the most recent 13 months can be matched to an exact release timestamp; no older observation can.
Official record constraint
- Available release history months
- 13
- Historical release date list exists
- no
- Holiday and disruption exceptions exist
- yes
- Normal release rule
- Friday 15:30 US Eastern for prior Tuesday data
- Retrieved on
- 2026-08-22
- Source
- https://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/index.htm
Special announcement source. https://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/HistoricalSpecialAnnouncements/index.htm
Protocol gate
- Name
- exact_historical_release_lineage
- Observed verified rate
- 0
- Required rate
- 0.950000
Work authorization
- Build fixed contract mapping now
- no
Permitted future branch. Only a preregistered identity redesign with a conservative availability rule and a documented distinction from the killed COT campaign. It would be a new trial family, not completion of this protocol.
Reason. A contract map cannot rescue an independently unreachable release-lineage gate, and the mechanism is already classified as a retired killed lineage.
Check it yourself
Every figure above is read from /glassbox/cftc_release_reachability.json, the
artifact the engine wrote. Nothing on this page is typed by hand: the page is generated from that
file, so a figure that moves in the artifact moves here and a figure that is not in the artifact
cannot appear here at all.