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Canli Capital

Research

Deep-History Quality (Top 800): a killed candidate

Verdict: KILLED
Test window: 2005-06-16 to 2026-06-22
Identity: deephist_quality_top800

Quality premium does not survive net of cost on the 21-year survivorship-free universe. Net Sharpe far below the 0.30 minimum gate. KILLED, never re-tuned.

Why it was worth testing

Quality investing is the claim that profitable, stable, low-accrual businesses earn more than their risk explains. It is among the best-documented anomalies in the literature and among the most heavily traded, which is exactly why it deserved a test on a survivorship-free universe with costs charged rather than assumed away. A premium that survives in a paper and dies in a fill is not a premium.

The result

Measure Value
Net Sharpe -0.5926
Annualized return -5.74%
Total return -71.16%
Annualized volatility 12.89%
Maximum drawdown -72.12%
Annualized turnover 3.18
Trading days 5286
Final equity (USD) 28,842.90
Fees paid (USD) 321.25

What this does and does not say

It says this configuration, on this data, net of the costs we charge, did not clear the bar it pre-registered. It does not say the underlying economic effect does not exist, that no implementation of it works, or that someone with different data or different execution would reach the same conclusion. A null is evidence about a test, not a proof about a market.

It also does not say the trial was free. Every hypothesis tested raises the deflated-Sharpe hurdle for every sleeve already in the book, including the ones that survived. That is why the kill count is published beside the survivor count rather than behind it.