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Research

Killed candidates

Published rejected candidates, with their test conditions, recorded outcomes and evidence limits. Read the individual papers to understand what each rejection establishes.

This collection contains the project’s published rejection papers. Each concerns a specified candidate and the evidence available for that decision. A rejection can follow a return test, a cost or capacity constraint, or a failure to obtain the required source evidence. Those outcomes answer different questions and should be read separately.

Start with the candidate’s specification and rejection reason, then inspect the data window, costs, trial accounting and source links. A failed performance test applies to that construction under those assumptions. A source-coverage failure instead means the proposed test could not proceed as specified; it does not establish that the economic mechanism has no effect.

The papers cover equity factors, crypto constructions, positioning, carry and inventory mechanisms tested in this project. Their outcomes do not establish that these research areas are exhausted or that another study must reach the same result. Differences in data, execution assumptions and the selection process need to be examined before comparing results.

Use the linked papers alongside the trial register. The register identifies attempts and missing evidence; the papers explain particular decisions. Keeping rejected candidates visible helps readers inspect the selection process, but a published rejection does not make a surviving candidate profitable or its forward record mature.

The killed candidates documents