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Trial evidence / Crypto Carry

Carry Fund 21

Hypothesis key 230d98e8609b0771 Incomplete

First measurement, annualised Sharpe-0.29over 479 observations. One historical measurement, not a return and not a forecast.

Where this sits among every trial ever recorded

-2.1527Sharpe ratio1.8129

this trial median zero

This trial ranks 43 of 224 measured identities, at the 19.2th percentile. The median trial recorded here scores 0.0247, and 53.1% score above zero at all.

Immutable first measurement

Hypothesis key
230d98e8609b0771
Configuration hash
7c4ef7fa217157b0
Research family
Crypto Carry
Packet status
INCOMPLETE_BACKFILL_REQUIRED
Observations
479
Annualized Sharpe
-0.2860802
Skew
0.02394904
Kurtosis
3.932339

Evidence coverage

  1. Admission Or Kill Decision

    missing

    No identity-level evidence is bound.

  2. Code Environment And Reproduction

    missing

    No identity-level evidence is bound.

  3. Economic Mechanism And Falsifiable Hypothesis

    verified
  4. Execution And Cost Model

    missing

    No identity-level evidence is bound.

  5. Family And Union Trial Accounting

    verified
  6. Identity And Authorship

    verified
  7. Literature And Overlap Decision

    verified
  8. Machine Readable Packet And Stable Public Paper

    verified
  9. Point In Time Data And Survivorship Controls

    missing

    No identity-level evidence is bound.

  10. Preregistration And Hashes

    missing

    No identity-level evidence is bound.

  11. Result Uncertainty Stress Capacity And Diversification

    missing

    No identity-level evidence is bound.

Completion assessment

  • METRIC MATCHES BUT IDENTITY CONFIG DIFFERS. 1 artifact(s) match the alpha list and immutable measurement, but none preserve every identity-bearing ledger field. Metric equality cannot repair a configuration-lineage mismatch.
  • IDENTITY PREREGISTRATION NOT PRESERVED. No identity-level preregistration and immutable pre-result hash are bound to this historical measurement.
  • IDENTITY LEVEL DECISION PACKET NOT PRESERVED. No complete identity-level admission or kill packet under the current contract is preserved for this historical measurement.

Frozen configuration

Allocator
rank
Alpha Names
carry_fund_21
End
1,717,200,000,000
Instrument Ids
List preserved in the machine-readable packet
No Trade Band
0.001
Rebalance Bars
24
Regime
yes
Regime Gate Weights
1, 0.7, 0.3
Regime Lag Days
1
Regime N States
3
Start
1,654,041,600,000
Test Bars
1,512
Train Bars
6,048

Verify the packet

Read the family paper · Download the machine-readable packet · All trials

Packet content hash sha256:7ba7a1fdb95bdef8f39dcb583ce3470b95d958ac923800f215a4afd16093a63f