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Trial evidence / Managed Futures Trend

59901461092dd7a6

Hypothesis key 59901461092dd7a6 Complete

First measurementNot recordedThis identity carries no first-measurement Sharpe. It is one of 4 such identities.

Forward epoch

Measured after the legacy epoch closed, under reservation ordinal 236. Register status DEVELOPMENT CLOSURE FINAL NOT ADMITTED. Final disposition KILL, not admitted: a development closure: the decision the study that ran this identity already made, imported and recorded, computing nothing.

Not ranked in the legacy distribution: that population is the retired epoch, and this identity belongs to the one after it.

Immutable first measurement

Hypothesis key
59901461092dd7a6
Configuration hash
15f89e7f56b7c764
Research family
Managed Futures Trend
Packet status
COMPLETE_ACCOUNTING_FINAL_KILLED_NOT_ADMITTED
Observations
5,190
Annualized Sharpe
0.716879
Skew
0.05690062
Kurtosis
13.39075

Evidence coverage

  1. Admission Or Kill Decision

    verified
    • Evidenceb356f39c109b10632e23ce0321d8f7e19a31ba5f79538942312b366907905615
    • Evidencea0ab64418f8688eca0c253fe8a25c5ded4871abd6eab879b2c590fef77cd4e97
    • Evidence464240c8dd108c5a07575adda1306740f509e2539d5c079bbd17a0b9574a7d18
    • Evidence18bd531190f45ef88b116d4fdec617800e08845df0ecd69195fd51bdea677c11
    • Evidence37ba45a1fed2db9cbd1fa21af1f38842734f1160758a870cf6e9e26fd5f84c58
    • Evidencebac338a86766d55137b5366ee8a44fe229508ab6c366a6241a573f65f73ad2f1
    • Evidencee52b70750c5a3e305131dbc616cd3725a964ec898da3d517fb9ef13acb039361
    • Evidence137c4c192e27d515b7c96910e97d00701f0c03dd281253925726e8bf8f0c442d
    • Evidence160a5a034473f8670789f638adecf091055d352dc97c7ec152b94331fce70d4a
    • Final Development Admission Closure2aa089a860f2755880472016ceedd6a5b1a71dcbfd3c390a72a39f7a189961e2
  2. Code Environment And Reproduction

    verified
    • Evidenceb356f39c109b10632e23ce0321d8f7e19a31ba5f79538942312b366907905615
    • Evidencea0ab64418f8688eca0c253fe8a25c5ded4871abd6eab879b2c590fef77cd4e97
    • Evidence464240c8dd108c5a07575adda1306740f509e2539d5c079bbd17a0b9574a7d18
    • Evidence18bd531190f45ef88b116d4fdec617800e08845df0ecd69195fd51bdea677c11
    • Evidence37ba45a1fed2db9cbd1fa21af1f38842734f1160758a870cf6e9e26fd5f84c58
    • Evidencebac338a86766d55137b5366ee8a44fe229508ab6c366a6241a573f65f73ad2f1
    • Evidencee52b70750c5a3e305131dbc616cd3725a964ec898da3d517fb9ef13acb039361
    • Evidence137c4c192e27d515b7c96910e97d00701f0c03dd281253925726e8bf8f0c442d
    • Evidence160a5a034473f8670789f638adecf091055d352dc97c7ec152b94331fce70d4a
  3. Economic Mechanism And Falsifiable Hypothesis

    verified
    • Evidenceb356f39c109b10632e23ce0321d8f7e19a31ba5f79538942312b366907905615
    • Evidencea0ab64418f8688eca0c253fe8a25c5ded4871abd6eab879b2c590fef77cd4e97
    • Evidence464240c8dd108c5a07575adda1306740f509e2539d5c079bbd17a0b9574a7d18
    • Evidence18bd531190f45ef88b116d4fdec617800e08845df0ecd69195fd51bdea677c11
    • Evidence37ba45a1fed2db9cbd1fa21af1f38842734f1160758a870cf6e9e26fd5f84c58
    • Evidencebac338a86766d55137b5366ee8a44fe229508ab6c366a6241a573f65f73ad2f1
    • Evidencee52b70750c5a3e305131dbc616cd3725a964ec898da3d517fb9ef13acb039361
    • Evidence137c4c192e27d515b7c96910e97d00701f0c03dd281253925726e8bf8f0c442d
    • Evidence160a5a034473f8670789f638adecf091055d352dc97c7ec152b94331fce70d4a
  4. Execution And Cost Model

    verified
    • Evidenceb356f39c109b10632e23ce0321d8f7e19a31ba5f79538942312b366907905615
    • Evidencea0ab64418f8688eca0c253fe8a25c5ded4871abd6eab879b2c590fef77cd4e97
    • Evidence464240c8dd108c5a07575adda1306740f509e2539d5c079bbd17a0b9574a7d18
    • Evidence18bd531190f45ef88b116d4fdec617800e08845df0ecd69195fd51bdea677c11
    • Evidence37ba45a1fed2db9cbd1fa21af1f38842734f1160758a870cf6e9e26fd5f84c58
    • Evidencebac338a86766d55137b5366ee8a44fe229508ab6c366a6241a573f65f73ad2f1
    • Evidencee52b70750c5a3e305131dbc616cd3725a964ec898da3d517fb9ef13acb039361
    • Evidence137c4c192e27d515b7c96910e97d00701f0c03dd281253925726e8bf8f0c442d
    • Evidence160a5a034473f8670789f638adecf091055d352dc97c7ec152b94331fce70d4a
  5. Family And Union Trial Accounting

    verified
    • Evidenceb356f39c109b10632e23ce0321d8f7e19a31ba5f79538942312b366907905615
    • Evidencea0ab64418f8688eca0c253fe8a25c5ded4871abd6eab879b2c590fef77cd4e97
    • Evidence464240c8dd108c5a07575adda1306740f509e2539d5c079bbd17a0b9574a7d18
    • Evidence18bd531190f45ef88b116d4fdec617800e08845df0ecd69195fd51bdea677c11
    • Evidence37ba45a1fed2db9cbd1fa21af1f38842734f1160758a870cf6e9e26fd5f84c58
    • Evidencebac338a86766d55137b5366ee8a44fe229508ab6c366a6241a573f65f73ad2f1
    • Evidencee52b70750c5a3e305131dbc616cd3725a964ec898da3d517fb9ef13acb039361
    • Evidence137c4c192e27d515b7c96910e97d00701f0c03dd281253925726e8bf8f0c442d
    • Evidence160a5a034473f8670789f638adecf091055d352dc97c7ec152b94331fce70d4a
  6. Identity And Authorship

    verified
    • Evidenceb356f39c109b10632e23ce0321d8f7e19a31ba5f79538942312b366907905615
    • Evidencea0ab64418f8688eca0c253fe8a25c5ded4871abd6eab879b2c590fef77cd4e97
    • Evidence464240c8dd108c5a07575adda1306740f509e2539d5c079bbd17a0b9574a7d18
    • Evidence18bd531190f45ef88b116d4fdec617800e08845df0ecd69195fd51bdea677c11
    • Evidence37ba45a1fed2db9cbd1fa21af1f38842734f1160758a870cf6e9e26fd5f84c58
    • Evidencebac338a86766d55137b5366ee8a44fe229508ab6c366a6241a573f65f73ad2f1
    • Evidencee52b70750c5a3e305131dbc616cd3725a964ec898da3d517fb9ef13acb039361
    • Evidence137c4c192e27d515b7c96910e97d00701f0c03dd281253925726e8bf8f0c442d
    • Evidence160a5a034473f8670789f638adecf091055d352dc97c7ec152b94331fce70d4a
  7. Literature And Overlap Decision

    verified
    • Evidenceb356f39c109b10632e23ce0321d8f7e19a31ba5f79538942312b366907905615
    • Evidencea0ab64418f8688eca0c253fe8a25c5ded4871abd6eab879b2c590fef77cd4e97
    • Evidence464240c8dd108c5a07575adda1306740f509e2539d5c079bbd17a0b9574a7d18
    • Evidence18bd531190f45ef88b116d4fdec617800e08845df0ecd69195fd51bdea677c11
    • Evidence37ba45a1fed2db9cbd1fa21af1f38842734f1160758a870cf6e9e26fd5f84c58
    • Evidencebac338a86766d55137b5366ee8a44fe229508ab6c366a6241a573f65f73ad2f1
    • Evidencee52b70750c5a3e305131dbc616cd3725a964ec898da3d517fb9ef13acb039361
    • Evidence137c4c192e27d515b7c96910e97d00701f0c03dd281253925726e8bf8f0c442d
    • Evidence160a5a034473f8670789f638adecf091055d352dc97c7ec152b94331fce70d4a
  8. Machine Readable Packet And Stable Public Paper

    verified
    • Evidenceb356f39c109b10632e23ce0321d8f7e19a31ba5f79538942312b366907905615
    • Evidencea0ab64418f8688eca0c253fe8a25c5ded4871abd6eab879b2c590fef77cd4e97
    • Evidence464240c8dd108c5a07575adda1306740f509e2539d5c079bbd17a0b9574a7d18
    • Evidence18bd531190f45ef88b116d4fdec617800e08845df0ecd69195fd51bdea677c11
    • Evidence37ba45a1fed2db9cbd1fa21af1f38842734f1160758a870cf6e9e26fd5f84c58
    • Evidencebac338a86766d55137b5366ee8a44fe229508ab6c366a6241a573f65f73ad2f1
    • Evidencee52b70750c5a3e305131dbc616cd3725a964ec898da3d517fb9ef13acb039361
    • Evidence137c4c192e27d515b7c96910e97d00701f0c03dd281253925726e8bf8f0c442d
    • Evidence160a5a034473f8670789f638adecf091055d352dc97c7ec152b94331fce70d4a
  9. Point In Time Data And Survivorship Controls

    verified
    • Evidenceb356f39c109b10632e23ce0321d8f7e19a31ba5f79538942312b366907905615
    • Evidencea0ab64418f8688eca0c253fe8a25c5ded4871abd6eab879b2c590fef77cd4e97
    • Evidence464240c8dd108c5a07575adda1306740f509e2539d5c079bbd17a0b9574a7d18
    • Evidence18bd531190f45ef88b116d4fdec617800e08845df0ecd69195fd51bdea677c11
    • Evidence37ba45a1fed2db9cbd1fa21af1f38842734f1160758a870cf6e9e26fd5f84c58
    • Evidencebac338a86766d55137b5366ee8a44fe229508ab6c366a6241a573f65f73ad2f1
    • Evidencee52b70750c5a3e305131dbc616cd3725a964ec898da3d517fb9ef13acb039361
    • Evidence137c4c192e27d515b7c96910e97d00701f0c03dd281253925726e8bf8f0c442d
    • Evidence160a5a034473f8670789f638adecf091055d352dc97c7ec152b94331fce70d4a
  10. Preregistration And Hashes

    verified
    • Evidenceb356f39c109b10632e23ce0321d8f7e19a31ba5f79538942312b366907905615
    • Evidencea0ab64418f8688eca0c253fe8a25c5ded4871abd6eab879b2c590fef77cd4e97
    • Evidence464240c8dd108c5a07575adda1306740f509e2539d5c079bbd17a0b9574a7d18
    • Evidence18bd531190f45ef88b116d4fdec617800e08845df0ecd69195fd51bdea677c11
    • Evidence37ba45a1fed2db9cbd1fa21af1f38842734f1160758a870cf6e9e26fd5f84c58
    • Evidencebac338a86766d55137b5366ee8a44fe229508ab6c366a6241a573f65f73ad2f1
    • Evidencee52b70750c5a3e305131dbc616cd3725a964ec898da3d517fb9ef13acb039361
    • Evidence137c4c192e27d515b7c96910e97d00701f0c03dd281253925726e8bf8f0c442d
    • Evidence160a5a034473f8670789f638adecf091055d352dc97c7ec152b94331fce70d4a
  11. Result Uncertainty Stress Capacity And Diversification

    verified
    • Evidenceb356f39c109b10632e23ce0321d8f7e19a31ba5f79538942312b366907905615
    • Evidencea0ab64418f8688eca0c253fe8a25c5ded4871abd6eab879b2c590fef77cd4e97
    • Evidence464240c8dd108c5a07575adda1306740f509e2539d5c079bbd17a0b9574a7d18
    • Evidence18bd531190f45ef88b116d4fdec617800e08845df0ecd69195fd51bdea677c11
    • Evidence37ba45a1fed2db9cbd1fa21af1f38842734f1160758a870cf6e9e26fd5f84c58
    • Evidencebac338a86766d55137b5366ee8a44fe229508ab6c366a6241a573f65f73ad2f1
    • Evidencee52b70750c5a3e305131dbc616cd3725a964ec898da3d517fb9ef13acb039361
    • Evidence137c4c192e27d515b7c96910e97d00701f0c03dd281253925726e8bf8f0c442d
    • Evidence160a5a034473f8670789f638adecf091055d352dc97c7ec152b94331fce70d4a

Completion assessment

COMPLETE_ACCOUNTING_FINAL_KILLED_NOT_ADMITTED

Frozen configuration

Allocator
trend
Alpha Names
mf_trend_63, mf_trend_126, mf_trend_252
Cov Halflife Days
Not reported
Cov Min Periods
240
Cov Window Bars
720
End
1,787,529,600,000
Evaluation Policy
continuous_single_book_v1
Execution Cost Scenario
{"name":"original_base_costs","resolved_costs":{"default_half_spread_bps":2.5,"equity_borrow_bps_annual":50,"equity_commission_bps":1,"equity_half_spread_bps":3,"impact_coef":1,"latency_addon_bps":2,"perp_maker_bps":2,"perp_taker_bps":5}}
History Start
1,041,379,200,000
Initial Cash
100,000
Instrument Ids
List preserved in the machine-readable packet
No Trade Band
0.001
Rebalance Bars
10
Start
1,136,246,400,000
Trend Blend Normalization
directional_rms
Trend Ic History Anchor
1,073,001,600,000
Trend Label Availability
exit_session_close_v1

Verify the packet

Download the machine-readable packet · All trials

Packet content hash sha256:3b13e9cb4af3450347c5be572bee5ef24ae3cd6c9013308df60e37bcf99dbfa2