macro_vintage_family

Immutable first measurement

Hypothesis key

5facc6dd331d80aa

Configuration hash

62b87e56c400faa4

Research family

Macro Economic Trend

Packet status

INCOMPLETE_BACKFILL_REQUIRED

Observations

5,977

Annualized Sharpe

-0.2022987

Skew

-0.391388

Kurtosis

27.07727

Evidence coverage

The spine below is the trial-packet contract. A missing section stays visibly missing.

1. Admission Or Kill Decision

   missing

   No identity-level evidence is bound.

2. Code Environment And Reproduction

   missing

   No identity-level evidence is bound.

3. Economic Mechanism And Falsifiable Hypothesis

   verified
   • Family Paper

4. Execution And Cost Model

   missing

   No identity-level evidence is bound.

5. Family And Union Trial Accounting

   verified
   • Family Paper

6. Identity And Authorship

   verified
   • Family Paper

7. Literature And Overlap Decision

   verified
   • Family Paper

8. Machine Readable Packet And Stable Public Paper

   verified
   • Family Paper

9. Point In Time Data And Survivorship Controls

   missing

   No identity-level evidence is bound.

10. Preregistration And Hashes

    missing

    No identity-level evidence is bound.

11. Result Uncertainty Stress Capacity And Diversification

    missing

    No identity-level evidence is bound.

Completion assessment

Missing sections are fail-closed evidence debt. This identity has not yet received a source-by-source recoverability audit.

Frozen configuration

Cost Oneway Bp

6

Prereg

docs/design/PREREG_MACRO_VINTAGE_FAMILY.md (commit fb1ab88)

Probe

macro_vintage_family

Series

IPT

Sign

1

Spread

IWM-SPY

Verify the packet

Read the family paper · Download the machine-readable packet · All trials

Packet content hash sha256:af7793d2c41447f1f2fbd7a4af7c876f01e0ea3f30ab5b40ae2160606a6ead4b