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Trial evidence / Managed Futures Trend

742ee252f0877aa3

Hypothesis key 742ee252f0877aa3 Complete

First measurementNot recordedThis identity carries no first-measurement Sharpe. It is one of 4 such identities.

Forward epoch

Measured after the legacy epoch closed, under reservation ordinal 316. Register status DEVELOPMENT CLOSURE FINAL NOT ADMITTED. Final disposition KILL, not admitted: a development closure: the decision the study that ran this identity already made, imported and recorded, computing nothing.

Not ranked in the legacy distribution: that population is the retired epoch, and this identity belongs to the one after it.

Immutable first measurement

Hypothesis key
742ee252f0877aa3
Configuration hash
d60fade51fbd88ae
Research family
Managed Futures Trend
Packet status
COMPLETE_ACCOUNTING_FINAL_KILLED_NOT_ADMITTED
Observations
1,248
Annualized Sharpe
0.4069541
Skew
-0.02019813
Kurtosis
6.086298

Evidence coverage

  1. Admission Or Kill Decision

    verified
    • Evidence64b00b515c0e6d1e8b0a8d5f0f5c5e63e48f2629cd13d3d50a725e1db9c35430
    • Evidenceebf5a30c80598b7b2d3617069a56d067b5aaeb2e5d02962fe64e50f63143d321
    • Evidence74780d32026037e73150c01e53e13bbab2c86d5f8031aa00c511a146b9903fdf
    • Evidence0d9ef63555f984881465bbc607319e5b2cc1bb954957c4638a18d27a664188e0
    • Evidenceaa83b3ee6e06d2cc559aa8867ddb1f8f533d19ed67a694b8ee3030b4a52b3d6c
    • Evidenceafd084b45b1a64acc136a18a1526453d5483dee2627ff413209ab2e6534e2fb6
    • Evidencecb756848b26dea175eef15718d16ffda5a52640b5ec0c98592dd9a5ca7064c14
    • Evidence786d54c32a0501ad01d6364d48cb0c8387102fcfc1d5b33ce63ef4e09dd758ae
    • Evidence460a9da08c475d4ddf8957534c56bb37e7b574000e09fd146c4613fd9583ba8b
    • Final Development Admission Closure616da808caafb570b86ee9576bf5f55a2498c937d49218c22bae1928ec18a408
  2. Code Environment And Reproduction

    verified
    • Evidence64b00b515c0e6d1e8b0a8d5f0f5c5e63e48f2629cd13d3d50a725e1db9c35430
    • Evidenceebf5a30c80598b7b2d3617069a56d067b5aaeb2e5d02962fe64e50f63143d321
    • Evidence74780d32026037e73150c01e53e13bbab2c86d5f8031aa00c511a146b9903fdf
    • Evidence0d9ef63555f984881465bbc607319e5b2cc1bb954957c4638a18d27a664188e0
    • Evidenceaa83b3ee6e06d2cc559aa8867ddb1f8f533d19ed67a694b8ee3030b4a52b3d6c
    • Evidenceafd084b45b1a64acc136a18a1526453d5483dee2627ff413209ab2e6534e2fb6
    • Evidencecb756848b26dea175eef15718d16ffda5a52640b5ec0c98592dd9a5ca7064c14
    • Evidence786d54c32a0501ad01d6364d48cb0c8387102fcfc1d5b33ce63ef4e09dd758ae
    • Evidence460a9da08c475d4ddf8957534c56bb37e7b574000e09fd146c4613fd9583ba8b
  3. Economic Mechanism And Falsifiable Hypothesis

    verified
    • Evidence64b00b515c0e6d1e8b0a8d5f0f5c5e63e48f2629cd13d3d50a725e1db9c35430
    • Evidenceebf5a30c80598b7b2d3617069a56d067b5aaeb2e5d02962fe64e50f63143d321
    • Evidence74780d32026037e73150c01e53e13bbab2c86d5f8031aa00c511a146b9903fdf
    • Evidence0d9ef63555f984881465bbc607319e5b2cc1bb954957c4638a18d27a664188e0
    • Evidenceaa83b3ee6e06d2cc559aa8867ddb1f8f533d19ed67a694b8ee3030b4a52b3d6c
    • Evidenceafd084b45b1a64acc136a18a1526453d5483dee2627ff413209ab2e6534e2fb6
    • Evidencecb756848b26dea175eef15718d16ffda5a52640b5ec0c98592dd9a5ca7064c14
    • Evidence786d54c32a0501ad01d6364d48cb0c8387102fcfc1d5b33ce63ef4e09dd758ae
    • Evidence460a9da08c475d4ddf8957534c56bb37e7b574000e09fd146c4613fd9583ba8b
  4. Execution And Cost Model

    verified
    • Evidence64b00b515c0e6d1e8b0a8d5f0f5c5e63e48f2629cd13d3d50a725e1db9c35430
    • Evidenceebf5a30c80598b7b2d3617069a56d067b5aaeb2e5d02962fe64e50f63143d321
    • Evidence74780d32026037e73150c01e53e13bbab2c86d5f8031aa00c511a146b9903fdf
    • Evidence0d9ef63555f984881465bbc607319e5b2cc1bb954957c4638a18d27a664188e0
    • Evidenceaa83b3ee6e06d2cc559aa8867ddb1f8f533d19ed67a694b8ee3030b4a52b3d6c
    • Evidenceafd084b45b1a64acc136a18a1526453d5483dee2627ff413209ab2e6534e2fb6
    • Evidencecb756848b26dea175eef15718d16ffda5a52640b5ec0c98592dd9a5ca7064c14
    • Evidence786d54c32a0501ad01d6364d48cb0c8387102fcfc1d5b33ce63ef4e09dd758ae
    • Evidence460a9da08c475d4ddf8957534c56bb37e7b574000e09fd146c4613fd9583ba8b
  5. Family And Union Trial Accounting

    verified
    • Evidence64b00b515c0e6d1e8b0a8d5f0f5c5e63e48f2629cd13d3d50a725e1db9c35430
    • Evidenceebf5a30c80598b7b2d3617069a56d067b5aaeb2e5d02962fe64e50f63143d321
    • Evidence74780d32026037e73150c01e53e13bbab2c86d5f8031aa00c511a146b9903fdf
    • Evidence0d9ef63555f984881465bbc607319e5b2cc1bb954957c4638a18d27a664188e0
    • Evidenceaa83b3ee6e06d2cc559aa8867ddb1f8f533d19ed67a694b8ee3030b4a52b3d6c
    • Evidenceafd084b45b1a64acc136a18a1526453d5483dee2627ff413209ab2e6534e2fb6
    • Evidencecb756848b26dea175eef15718d16ffda5a52640b5ec0c98592dd9a5ca7064c14
    • Evidence786d54c32a0501ad01d6364d48cb0c8387102fcfc1d5b33ce63ef4e09dd758ae
    • Evidence460a9da08c475d4ddf8957534c56bb37e7b574000e09fd146c4613fd9583ba8b
  6. Identity And Authorship

    verified
    • Evidence64b00b515c0e6d1e8b0a8d5f0f5c5e63e48f2629cd13d3d50a725e1db9c35430
    • Evidenceebf5a30c80598b7b2d3617069a56d067b5aaeb2e5d02962fe64e50f63143d321
    • Evidence74780d32026037e73150c01e53e13bbab2c86d5f8031aa00c511a146b9903fdf
    • Evidence0d9ef63555f984881465bbc607319e5b2cc1bb954957c4638a18d27a664188e0
    • Evidenceaa83b3ee6e06d2cc559aa8867ddb1f8f533d19ed67a694b8ee3030b4a52b3d6c
    • Evidenceafd084b45b1a64acc136a18a1526453d5483dee2627ff413209ab2e6534e2fb6
    • Evidencecb756848b26dea175eef15718d16ffda5a52640b5ec0c98592dd9a5ca7064c14
    • Evidence786d54c32a0501ad01d6364d48cb0c8387102fcfc1d5b33ce63ef4e09dd758ae
    • Evidence460a9da08c475d4ddf8957534c56bb37e7b574000e09fd146c4613fd9583ba8b
  7. Literature And Overlap Decision

    verified
    • Evidence64b00b515c0e6d1e8b0a8d5f0f5c5e63e48f2629cd13d3d50a725e1db9c35430
    • Evidenceebf5a30c80598b7b2d3617069a56d067b5aaeb2e5d02962fe64e50f63143d321
    • Evidence74780d32026037e73150c01e53e13bbab2c86d5f8031aa00c511a146b9903fdf
    • Evidence0d9ef63555f984881465bbc607319e5b2cc1bb954957c4638a18d27a664188e0
    • Evidenceaa83b3ee6e06d2cc559aa8867ddb1f8f533d19ed67a694b8ee3030b4a52b3d6c
    • Evidenceafd084b45b1a64acc136a18a1526453d5483dee2627ff413209ab2e6534e2fb6
    • Evidencecb756848b26dea175eef15718d16ffda5a52640b5ec0c98592dd9a5ca7064c14
    • Evidence786d54c32a0501ad01d6364d48cb0c8387102fcfc1d5b33ce63ef4e09dd758ae
    • Evidence460a9da08c475d4ddf8957534c56bb37e7b574000e09fd146c4613fd9583ba8b
  8. Machine Readable Packet And Stable Public Paper

    verified
    • Evidence64b00b515c0e6d1e8b0a8d5f0f5c5e63e48f2629cd13d3d50a725e1db9c35430
    • Evidenceebf5a30c80598b7b2d3617069a56d067b5aaeb2e5d02962fe64e50f63143d321
    • Evidence74780d32026037e73150c01e53e13bbab2c86d5f8031aa00c511a146b9903fdf
    • Evidence0d9ef63555f984881465bbc607319e5b2cc1bb954957c4638a18d27a664188e0
    • Evidenceaa83b3ee6e06d2cc559aa8867ddb1f8f533d19ed67a694b8ee3030b4a52b3d6c
    • Evidenceafd084b45b1a64acc136a18a1526453d5483dee2627ff413209ab2e6534e2fb6
    • Evidencecb756848b26dea175eef15718d16ffda5a52640b5ec0c98592dd9a5ca7064c14
    • Evidence786d54c32a0501ad01d6364d48cb0c8387102fcfc1d5b33ce63ef4e09dd758ae
    • Evidence460a9da08c475d4ddf8957534c56bb37e7b574000e09fd146c4613fd9583ba8b
  9. Point In Time Data And Survivorship Controls

    verified
    • Evidence64b00b515c0e6d1e8b0a8d5f0f5c5e63e48f2629cd13d3d50a725e1db9c35430
    • Evidenceebf5a30c80598b7b2d3617069a56d067b5aaeb2e5d02962fe64e50f63143d321
    • Evidence74780d32026037e73150c01e53e13bbab2c86d5f8031aa00c511a146b9903fdf
    • Evidence0d9ef63555f984881465bbc607319e5b2cc1bb954957c4638a18d27a664188e0
    • Evidenceaa83b3ee6e06d2cc559aa8867ddb1f8f533d19ed67a694b8ee3030b4a52b3d6c
    • Evidenceafd084b45b1a64acc136a18a1526453d5483dee2627ff413209ab2e6534e2fb6
    • Evidencecb756848b26dea175eef15718d16ffda5a52640b5ec0c98592dd9a5ca7064c14
    • Evidence786d54c32a0501ad01d6364d48cb0c8387102fcfc1d5b33ce63ef4e09dd758ae
    • Evidence460a9da08c475d4ddf8957534c56bb37e7b574000e09fd146c4613fd9583ba8b
  10. Preregistration And Hashes

    verified
    • Evidence64b00b515c0e6d1e8b0a8d5f0f5c5e63e48f2629cd13d3d50a725e1db9c35430
    • Evidenceebf5a30c80598b7b2d3617069a56d067b5aaeb2e5d02962fe64e50f63143d321
    • Evidence74780d32026037e73150c01e53e13bbab2c86d5f8031aa00c511a146b9903fdf
    • Evidence0d9ef63555f984881465bbc607319e5b2cc1bb954957c4638a18d27a664188e0
    • Evidenceaa83b3ee6e06d2cc559aa8867ddb1f8f533d19ed67a694b8ee3030b4a52b3d6c
    • Evidenceafd084b45b1a64acc136a18a1526453d5483dee2627ff413209ab2e6534e2fb6
    • Evidencecb756848b26dea175eef15718d16ffda5a52640b5ec0c98592dd9a5ca7064c14
    • Evidence786d54c32a0501ad01d6364d48cb0c8387102fcfc1d5b33ce63ef4e09dd758ae
    • Evidence460a9da08c475d4ddf8957534c56bb37e7b574000e09fd146c4613fd9583ba8b
  11. Result Uncertainty Stress Capacity And Diversification

    verified
    • Evidence64b00b515c0e6d1e8b0a8d5f0f5c5e63e48f2629cd13d3d50a725e1db9c35430
    • Evidenceebf5a30c80598b7b2d3617069a56d067b5aaeb2e5d02962fe64e50f63143d321
    • Evidence74780d32026037e73150c01e53e13bbab2c86d5f8031aa00c511a146b9903fdf
    • Evidence0d9ef63555f984881465bbc607319e5b2cc1bb954957c4638a18d27a664188e0
    • Evidenceaa83b3ee6e06d2cc559aa8867ddb1f8f533d19ed67a694b8ee3030b4a52b3d6c
    • Evidenceafd084b45b1a64acc136a18a1526453d5483dee2627ff413209ab2e6534e2fb6
    • Evidencecb756848b26dea175eef15718d16ffda5a52640b5ec0c98592dd9a5ca7064c14
    • Evidence786d54c32a0501ad01d6364d48cb0c8387102fcfc1d5b33ce63ef4e09dd758ae
    • Evidence460a9da08c475d4ddf8957534c56bb37e7b574000e09fd146c4613fd9583ba8b

Completion assessment

COMPLETE_ACCOUNTING_FINAL_KILLED_NOT_ADMITTED

Frozen configuration

Arm
candidate
Family
combined_session_cooldown
Input Manifest Sha256
cb756848b26dea175eef15718d16ffda5a52640b5ec0c98592dd9a5ca7064c14
Spec Sha256
904aad59143b6613f239fc0d64dcc8925f287dd491311c5cf09f79e3756199a5

Verify the packet

Download the machine-readable packet · All trials

Packet content hash sha256:0da6353f276cce390bc7c1d5c94d1273d97bff692a36d4117193c641576bee73