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Trial evidence / Managed Futures Trend

8118fdfe8128b646

Hypothesis key 8118fdfe8128b646 Complete

First measurementNot recordedThis identity carries no first-measurement Sharpe. It is one of 4 such identities.

Forward epoch

Measured after the legacy epoch closed, under reservation ordinal 288. Register status DEVELOPMENT CLOSURE FINAL NOT ADMITTED. Final disposition KILL, not admitted: a development closure: the decision the study that ran this identity already made, imported and recorded, computing nothing.

Not ranked in the legacy distribution: that population is the retired epoch, and this identity belongs to the one after it.

Immutable first measurement

Hypothesis key
8118fdfe8128b646
Configuration hash
ac7dc102a41cd7fc
Research family
Managed Futures Trend
Packet status
COMPLETE_ACCOUNTING_FINAL_KILLED_NOT_ADMITTED
Observations
365
Annualized Sharpe
-0.08316331
Skew
-0.2104914
Kurtosis
5.595297

Evidence coverage

  1. Admission Or Kill Decision

    verified
    • Evidence352f225dcecf097fbc292dc6a325e36f26997e5fbc4e9f8c6ccef4623eb0cd63
    • Evidence2a414db34c9a8939b86f583dbf9b611ade190342326078461eedcafb2e768c80
    • Evidencefec3e571697e15e8b902cfa238b458099c1d3c7c2b533326e41892c44e78b30c
    • Evidenceed3d5dd9beee97a10292455b9eb892d40fd9dde8f481a3bd3d55cc771bc08519
    • Evidenceca7741d9b4ff561e69fd35d3c9673dba3c066ab31ec870ece4f556a8bbcc0a9a
    • Evidenced940a8cff5eb53c453199c2d5f871b7ab0e1487f472df08c9a6e4cb962003d73
    • Evidenceaa9d19982e74410508075fa19d05b02855b1c771838f1f4049126d0e2ad86330
    • Evidence692129ee2533975bfe518629c0129a7460a7b7aef82f538a2ee471f38895e935
    • Evidenceb805f6edb11fd8b53cadb21ec854a8aebba1554213d4ac40a993175a0c21314f
    • Final Development Admission Closurea7720c6703d529e9885281b757edc202e8fec64b841d5d033d5d3b6b8d7773eb
  2. Code Environment And Reproduction

    verified
    • Evidence352f225dcecf097fbc292dc6a325e36f26997e5fbc4e9f8c6ccef4623eb0cd63
    • Evidence2a414db34c9a8939b86f583dbf9b611ade190342326078461eedcafb2e768c80
    • Evidencefec3e571697e15e8b902cfa238b458099c1d3c7c2b533326e41892c44e78b30c
    • Evidenceed3d5dd9beee97a10292455b9eb892d40fd9dde8f481a3bd3d55cc771bc08519
    • Evidenceca7741d9b4ff561e69fd35d3c9673dba3c066ab31ec870ece4f556a8bbcc0a9a
    • Evidenced940a8cff5eb53c453199c2d5f871b7ab0e1487f472df08c9a6e4cb962003d73
    • Evidenceaa9d19982e74410508075fa19d05b02855b1c771838f1f4049126d0e2ad86330
    • Evidence692129ee2533975bfe518629c0129a7460a7b7aef82f538a2ee471f38895e935
    • Evidenceb805f6edb11fd8b53cadb21ec854a8aebba1554213d4ac40a993175a0c21314f
  3. Economic Mechanism And Falsifiable Hypothesis

    verified
    • Evidence352f225dcecf097fbc292dc6a325e36f26997e5fbc4e9f8c6ccef4623eb0cd63
    • Evidence2a414db34c9a8939b86f583dbf9b611ade190342326078461eedcafb2e768c80
    • Evidencefec3e571697e15e8b902cfa238b458099c1d3c7c2b533326e41892c44e78b30c
    • Evidenceed3d5dd9beee97a10292455b9eb892d40fd9dde8f481a3bd3d55cc771bc08519
    • Evidenceca7741d9b4ff561e69fd35d3c9673dba3c066ab31ec870ece4f556a8bbcc0a9a
    • Evidenced940a8cff5eb53c453199c2d5f871b7ab0e1487f472df08c9a6e4cb962003d73
    • Evidenceaa9d19982e74410508075fa19d05b02855b1c771838f1f4049126d0e2ad86330
    • Evidence692129ee2533975bfe518629c0129a7460a7b7aef82f538a2ee471f38895e935
    • Evidenceb805f6edb11fd8b53cadb21ec854a8aebba1554213d4ac40a993175a0c21314f
  4. Execution And Cost Model

    verified
    • Evidence352f225dcecf097fbc292dc6a325e36f26997e5fbc4e9f8c6ccef4623eb0cd63
    • Evidence2a414db34c9a8939b86f583dbf9b611ade190342326078461eedcafb2e768c80
    • Evidencefec3e571697e15e8b902cfa238b458099c1d3c7c2b533326e41892c44e78b30c
    • Evidenceed3d5dd9beee97a10292455b9eb892d40fd9dde8f481a3bd3d55cc771bc08519
    • Evidenceca7741d9b4ff561e69fd35d3c9673dba3c066ab31ec870ece4f556a8bbcc0a9a
    • Evidenced940a8cff5eb53c453199c2d5f871b7ab0e1487f472df08c9a6e4cb962003d73
    • Evidenceaa9d19982e74410508075fa19d05b02855b1c771838f1f4049126d0e2ad86330
    • Evidence692129ee2533975bfe518629c0129a7460a7b7aef82f538a2ee471f38895e935
    • Evidenceb805f6edb11fd8b53cadb21ec854a8aebba1554213d4ac40a993175a0c21314f
  5. Family And Union Trial Accounting

    verified
    • Evidence352f225dcecf097fbc292dc6a325e36f26997e5fbc4e9f8c6ccef4623eb0cd63
    • Evidence2a414db34c9a8939b86f583dbf9b611ade190342326078461eedcafb2e768c80
    • Evidencefec3e571697e15e8b902cfa238b458099c1d3c7c2b533326e41892c44e78b30c
    • Evidenceed3d5dd9beee97a10292455b9eb892d40fd9dde8f481a3bd3d55cc771bc08519
    • Evidenceca7741d9b4ff561e69fd35d3c9673dba3c066ab31ec870ece4f556a8bbcc0a9a
    • Evidenced940a8cff5eb53c453199c2d5f871b7ab0e1487f472df08c9a6e4cb962003d73
    • Evidenceaa9d19982e74410508075fa19d05b02855b1c771838f1f4049126d0e2ad86330
    • Evidence692129ee2533975bfe518629c0129a7460a7b7aef82f538a2ee471f38895e935
    • Evidenceb805f6edb11fd8b53cadb21ec854a8aebba1554213d4ac40a993175a0c21314f
  6. Identity And Authorship

    verified
    • Evidence352f225dcecf097fbc292dc6a325e36f26997e5fbc4e9f8c6ccef4623eb0cd63
    • Evidence2a414db34c9a8939b86f583dbf9b611ade190342326078461eedcafb2e768c80
    • Evidencefec3e571697e15e8b902cfa238b458099c1d3c7c2b533326e41892c44e78b30c
    • Evidenceed3d5dd9beee97a10292455b9eb892d40fd9dde8f481a3bd3d55cc771bc08519
    • Evidenceca7741d9b4ff561e69fd35d3c9673dba3c066ab31ec870ece4f556a8bbcc0a9a
    • Evidenced940a8cff5eb53c453199c2d5f871b7ab0e1487f472df08c9a6e4cb962003d73
    • Evidenceaa9d19982e74410508075fa19d05b02855b1c771838f1f4049126d0e2ad86330
    • Evidence692129ee2533975bfe518629c0129a7460a7b7aef82f538a2ee471f38895e935
    • Evidenceb805f6edb11fd8b53cadb21ec854a8aebba1554213d4ac40a993175a0c21314f
  7. Literature And Overlap Decision

    verified
    • Evidence352f225dcecf097fbc292dc6a325e36f26997e5fbc4e9f8c6ccef4623eb0cd63
    • Evidence2a414db34c9a8939b86f583dbf9b611ade190342326078461eedcafb2e768c80
    • Evidencefec3e571697e15e8b902cfa238b458099c1d3c7c2b533326e41892c44e78b30c
    • Evidenceed3d5dd9beee97a10292455b9eb892d40fd9dde8f481a3bd3d55cc771bc08519
    • Evidenceca7741d9b4ff561e69fd35d3c9673dba3c066ab31ec870ece4f556a8bbcc0a9a
    • Evidenced940a8cff5eb53c453199c2d5f871b7ab0e1487f472df08c9a6e4cb962003d73
    • Evidenceaa9d19982e74410508075fa19d05b02855b1c771838f1f4049126d0e2ad86330
    • Evidence692129ee2533975bfe518629c0129a7460a7b7aef82f538a2ee471f38895e935
    • Evidenceb805f6edb11fd8b53cadb21ec854a8aebba1554213d4ac40a993175a0c21314f
  8. Machine Readable Packet And Stable Public Paper

    verified
    • Evidence352f225dcecf097fbc292dc6a325e36f26997e5fbc4e9f8c6ccef4623eb0cd63
    • Evidence2a414db34c9a8939b86f583dbf9b611ade190342326078461eedcafb2e768c80
    • Evidencefec3e571697e15e8b902cfa238b458099c1d3c7c2b533326e41892c44e78b30c
    • Evidenceed3d5dd9beee97a10292455b9eb892d40fd9dde8f481a3bd3d55cc771bc08519
    • Evidenceca7741d9b4ff561e69fd35d3c9673dba3c066ab31ec870ece4f556a8bbcc0a9a
    • Evidenced940a8cff5eb53c453199c2d5f871b7ab0e1487f472df08c9a6e4cb962003d73
    • Evidenceaa9d19982e74410508075fa19d05b02855b1c771838f1f4049126d0e2ad86330
    • Evidence692129ee2533975bfe518629c0129a7460a7b7aef82f538a2ee471f38895e935
    • Evidenceb805f6edb11fd8b53cadb21ec854a8aebba1554213d4ac40a993175a0c21314f
  9. Point In Time Data And Survivorship Controls

    verified
    • Evidence352f225dcecf097fbc292dc6a325e36f26997e5fbc4e9f8c6ccef4623eb0cd63
    • Evidence2a414db34c9a8939b86f583dbf9b611ade190342326078461eedcafb2e768c80
    • Evidencefec3e571697e15e8b902cfa238b458099c1d3c7c2b533326e41892c44e78b30c
    • Evidenceed3d5dd9beee97a10292455b9eb892d40fd9dde8f481a3bd3d55cc771bc08519
    • Evidenceca7741d9b4ff561e69fd35d3c9673dba3c066ab31ec870ece4f556a8bbcc0a9a
    • Evidenced940a8cff5eb53c453199c2d5f871b7ab0e1487f472df08c9a6e4cb962003d73
    • Evidenceaa9d19982e74410508075fa19d05b02855b1c771838f1f4049126d0e2ad86330
    • Evidence692129ee2533975bfe518629c0129a7460a7b7aef82f538a2ee471f38895e935
    • Evidenceb805f6edb11fd8b53cadb21ec854a8aebba1554213d4ac40a993175a0c21314f
  10. Preregistration And Hashes

    verified
    • Evidence352f225dcecf097fbc292dc6a325e36f26997e5fbc4e9f8c6ccef4623eb0cd63
    • Evidence2a414db34c9a8939b86f583dbf9b611ade190342326078461eedcafb2e768c80
    • Evidencefec3e571697e15e8b902cfa238b458099c1d3c7c2b533326e41892c44e78b30c
    • Evidenceed3d5dd9beee97a10292455b9eb892d40fd9dde8f481a3bd3d55cc771bc08519
    • Evidenceca7741d9b4ff561e69fd35d3c9673dba3c066ab31ec870ece4f556a8bbcc0a9a
    • Evidenced940a8cff5eb53c453199c2d5f871b7ab0e1487f472df08c9a6e4cb962003d73
    • Evidenceaa9d19982e74410508075fa19d05b02855b1c771838f1f4049126d0e2ad86330
    • Evidence692129ee2533975bfe518629c0129a7460a7b7aef82f538a2ee471f38895e935
    • Evidenceb805f6edb11fd8b53cadb21ec854a8aebba1554213d4ac40a993175a0c21314f
  11. Result Uncertainty Stress Capacity And Diversification

    verified
    • Evidence352f225dcecf097fbc292dc6a325e36f26997e5fbc4e9f8c6ccef4623eb0cd63
    • Evidence2a414db34c9a8939b86f583dbf9b611ade190342326078461eedcafb2e768c80
    • Evidencefec3e571697e15e8b902cfa238b458099c1d3c7c2b533326e41892c44e78b30c
    • Evidenceed3d5dd9beee97a10292455b9eb892d40fd9dde8f481a3bd3d55cc771bc08519
    • Evidenceca7741d9b4ff561e69fd35d3c9673dba3c066ab31ec870ece4f556a8bbcc0a9a
    • Evidenced940a8cff5eb53c453199c2d5f871b7ab0e1487f472df08c9a6e4cb962003d73
    • Evidenceaa9d19982e74410508075fa19d05b02855b1c771838f1f4049126d0e2ad86330
    • Evidence692129ee2533975bfe518629c0129a7460a7b7aef82f538a2ee471f38895e935
    • Evidenceb805f6edb11fd8b53cadb21ec854a8aebba1554213d4ac40a993175a0c21314f

Completion assessment

COMPLETE_ACCOUNTING_FINAL_KILLED_NOT_ADMITTED

Frozen configuration

Arm
baseline
Family
combined_2022_source_day_diagnostic
Input Manifest Sha256
aa9d19982e74410508075fa19d05b02855b1c771838f1f4049126d0e2ad86330
Spec Sha256
2c14e4dc05e7d02b8422b67aec91ce9b6736c0db083fe88db39be9254290d87c

Verify the packet

Download the machine-readable packet · All trials

Packet content hash sha256:4cb25ab0a0a646b6b1805bb68e1dc36d4babace978ce8bd4261477586678179c