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Trial evidence / Crypto Momentum

Mom Xs 504 48 + Mom Xs 2160 168 + Mom Ts 504

Hypothesis key 827861e57050f162 Incomplete

First measurement, annualised Sharpe0.08over 1,612 observations. One historical measurement, not a return and not a forecast.

Where this sits among every trial ever recorded

-2.1527Sharpe ratio1.8129

this trial median zero

This trial ranks 131 of 224 measured identities, at the 58.5th percentile. The median trial recorded here scores 0.0247, and 53.1% score above zero at all.

Immutable first measurement

Hypothesis key
827861e57050f162
Configuration hash
6165a159cad95a71
Research family
Crypto Momentum
Packet status
INCOMPLETE_BACKFILL_REQUIRED
Observations
1,612
Annualized Sharpe
0.07797446
Skew
-0.3401148
Kurtosis
6.119053

Evidence coverage

  1. Admission Or Kill Decision

    missing

    No identity-level evidence is bound.

  2. Code Environment And Reproduction

    missing

    No identity-level evidence is bound.

  3. Economic Mechanism And Falsifiable Hypothesis

    verified
  4. Execution And Cost Model

    missing

    No identity-level evidence is bound.

  5. Family And Union Trial Accounting

    verified
  6. Identity And Authorship

    verified
  7. Literature And Overlap Decision

    verified
  8. Machine Readable Packet And Stable Public Paper

    verified
  9. Point In Time Data And Survivorship Controls

    missing

    No identity-level evidence is bound.

  10. Preregistration And Hashes

    missing

    No identity-level evidence is bound.

  11. Result Uncertainty Stress Capacity And Diversification

    missing

    No identity-level evidence is bound.

Completion assessment

  • IDENTITY PREREGISTRATION AND ORIGINAL ENVIRONMENT NOT BOUND. The canonical family audit binds this identity to its immutable ledger measurement, but does not bind an identity-level preregistration, original code commit, runner hash, lockfile, and input snapshot. Those missing historical fields cannot be reconstructed from the family summary.
  • IDENTITY LEVEL DECISION PACKET NOT PRESERVED. The family-level admission status is FAIL_RESEARCH_ONLY; it is not a preserved identity-level gate decision under the complete packet contract.
  • IDENTITY CAPACITY NOT MEASURED. The canonical family audit records capacity as UNMEASURED_NO_PERSISTED_MOMENTUM_CAPACITY_SWEEP; no identity-level capacity evidence can be credited.

Frozen configuration

Allocator
rank
Alpha Names
mom_xs_504_48, mom_xs_2160_168, mom_ts_504
End
1,780,272,000,000
Instrument Ids
List preserved in the machine-readable packet
No Trade Band
0.0003
Rebalance Bars
72
Start
1,609,459,200,000
Test Bars
2,184
Train Bars
8,760

Verify the packet

Read the family paper · Download the machine-readable packet · All trials

Packet content hash sha256:ab0c0a7038c1111b31463e56a5d8454f7d5e10fd6ff7660a89799db93419fc1d