Skip to content

Trial evidence / Managed Futures Trend

A18db0c465e764c7

Hypothesis key a18db0c465e764c7 Complete

First measurementNot recordedThis identity carries no first-measurement Sharpe. It is one of 4 such identities.

Forward epoch

Measured after the legacy epoch closed, under reservation ordinal 329. Register status DEVELOPMENT CLOSURE FINAL NOT ADMITTED. Final disposition KILL, not admitted: a development closure: the decision the study that ran this identity already made, imported and recorded, computing nothing.

Not ranked in the legacy distribution: that population is the retired epoch, and this identity belongs to the one after it.

Immutable first measurement

Hypothesis key
a18db0c465e764c7
Configuration hash
9df6253e792897b5
Research family
Managed Futures Trend
Packet status
COMPLETE_ACCOUNTING_FINAL_KILLED_NOT_ADMITTED
Observations
1,248
Annualized Sharpe
-0.2780782
Skew
-0.350488
Kurtosis
6.748661

Evidence coverage

  1. Admission Or Kill Decision

    verified
    • Evidence30bb69e91492c049c2e9f13a3ef9ecf84a2e31a8a2fb7a685b10dfd983be22d9
    • Evidencede6dd818d3ebc92208380aa31f975587b0ea495b96785921d5f25bc3bacaee1c
    • Evidence02484f13fad2fac69191acdeafd178f61ef45af2b8d264472ff798399d446abc
    • Evidence15a470e1d6656990d671a7405190b8edd03d2017497f4a7084eee0fca4c86b62
    • Evidenceb82a1dfaf6d3ef3f5b11a2cbcbac4346fb5655377259478c2cd8541c1706b2d6
    • Evidence56931e9d93b0a4eb0a99649585c24485520d04e5d1560ff0022c9883b2202286
    • Evidence76dbf2c0abcb178fa38e23b0da641192add4d6e053c53653e8115146271c187e
    • Evidence8e5b1aea6b224461280634542998bafd421c838bf759f08267afc4bec7fac48c
    • Evidence1b4c322ee48f398a1f13959c337bc1a2b1bac71d53d4c65caf4751f42bedcd8f
    • Final Development Admission Closure7bb87e1d1ab1d9ed77c364f7715843effc3db156cc8472244227c18d3ba2c0ea
  2. Code Environment And Reproduction

    verified
    • Evidence30bb69e91492c049c2e9f13a3ef9ecf84a2e31a8a2fb7a685b10dfd983be22d9
    • Evidencede6dd818d3ebc92208380aa31f975587b0ea495b96785921d5f25bc3bacaee1c
    • Evidence02484f13fad2fac69191acdeafd178f61ef45af2b8d264472ff798399d446abc
    • Evidence15a470e1d6656990d671a7405190b8edd03d2017497f4a7084eee0fca4c86b62
    • Evidenceb82a1dfaf6d3ef3f5b11a2cbcbac4346fb5655377259478c2cd8541c1706b2d6
    • Evidence56931e9d93b0a4eb0a99649585c24485520d04e5d1560ff0022c9883b2202286
    • Evidence76dbf2c0abcb178fa38e23b0da641192add4d6e053c53653e8115146271c187e
    • Evidence8e5b1aea6b224461280634542998bafd421c838bf759f08267afc4bec7fac48c
    • Evidence1b4c322ee48f398a1f13959c337bc1a2b1bac71d53d4c65caf4751f42bedcd8f
  3. Economic Mechanism And Falsifiable Hypothesis

    verified
    • Evidence30bb69e91492c049c2e9f13a3ef9ecf84a2e31a8a2fb7a685b10dfd983be22d9
    • Evidencede6dd818d3ebc92208380aa31f975587b0ea495b96785921d5f25bc3bacaee1c
    • Evidence02484f13fad2fac69191acdeafd178f61ef45af2b8d264472ff798399d446abc
    • Evidence15a470e1d6656990d671a7405190b8edd03d2017497f4a7084eee0fca4c86b62
    • Evidenceb82a1dfaf6d3ef3f5b11a2cbcbac4346fb5655377259478c2cd8541c1706b2d6
    • Evidence56931e9d93b0a4eb0a99649585c24485520d04e5d1560ff0022c9883b2202286
    • Evidence76dbf2c0abcb178fa38e23b0da641192add4d6e053c53653e8115146271c187e
    • Evidence8e5b1aea6b224461280634542998bafd421c838bf759f08267afc4bec7fac48c
    • Evidence1b4c322ee48f398a1f13959c337bc1a2b1bac71d53d4c65caf4751f42bedcd8f
  4. Execution And Cost Model

    verified
    • Evidence30bb69e91492c049c2e9f13a3ef9ecf84a2e31a8a2fb7a685b10dfd983be22d9
    • Evidencede6dd818d3ebc92208380aa31f975587b0ea495b96785921d5f25bc3bacaee1c
    • Evidence02484f13fad2fac69191acdeafd178f61ef45af2b8d264472ff798399d446abc
    • Evidence15a470e1d6656990d671a7405190b8edd03d2017497f4a7084eee0fca4c86b62
    • Evidenceb82a1dfaf6d3ef3f5b11a2cbcbac4346fb5655377259478c2cd8541c1706b2d6
    • Evidence56931e9d93b0a4eb0a99649585c24485520d04e5d1560ff0022c9883b2202286
    • Evidence76dbf2c0abcb178fa38e23b0da641192add4d6e053c53653e8115146271c187e
    • Evidence8e5b1aea6b224461280634542998bafd421c838bf759f08267afc4bec7fac48c
    • Evidence1b4c322ee48f398a1f13959c337bc1a2b1bac71d53d4c65caf4751f42bedcd8f
  5. Family And Union Trial Accounting

    verified
    • Evidence30bb69e91492c049c2e9f13a3ef9ecf84a2e31a8a2fb7a685b10dfd983be22d9
    • Evidencede6dd818d3ebc92208380aa31f975587b0ea495b96785921d5f25bc3bacaee1c
    • Evidence02484f13fad2fac69191acdeafd178f61ef45af2b8d264472ff798399d446abc
    • Evidence15a470e1d6656990d671a7405190b8edd03d2017497f4a7084eee0fca4c86b62
    • Evidenceb82a1dfaf6d3ef3f5b11a2cbcbac4346fb5655377259478c2cd8541c1706b2d6
    • Evidence56931e9d93b0a4eb0a99649585c24485520d04e5d1560ff0022c9883b2202286
    • Evidence76dbf2c0abcb178fa38e23b0da641192add4d6e053c53653e8115146271c187e
    • Evidence8e5b1aea6b224461280634542998bafd421c838bf759f08267afc4bec7fac48c
    • Evidence1b4c322ee48f398a1f13959c337bc1a2b1bac71d53d4c65caf4751f42bedcd8f
  6. Identity And Authorship

    verified
    • Evidence30bb69e91492c049c2e9f13a3ef9ecf84a2e31a8a2fb7a685b10dfd983be22d9
    • Evidencede6dd818d3ebc92208380aa31f975587b0ea495b96785921d5f25bc3bacaee1c
    • Evidence02484f13fad2fac69191acdeafd178f61ef45af2b8d264472ff798399d446abc
    • Evidence15a470e1d6656990d671a7405190b8edd03d2017497f4a7084eee0fca4c86b62
    • Evidenceb82a1dfaf6d3ef3f5b11a2cbcbac4346fb5655377259478c2cd8541c1706b2d6
    • Evidence56931e9d93b0a4eb0a99649585c24485520d04e5d1560ff0022c9883b2202286
    • Evidence76dbf2c0abcb178fa38e23b0da641192add4d6e053c53653e8115146271c187e
    • Evidence8e5b1aea6b224461280634542998bafd421c838bf759f08267afc4bec7fac48c
    • Evidence1b4c322ee48f398a1f13959c337bc1a2b1bac71d53d4c65caf4751f42bedcd8f
  7. Literature And Overlap Decision

    verified
    • Evidence30bb69e91492c049c2e9f13a3ef9ecf84a2e31a8a2fb7a685b10dfd983be22d9
    • Evidencede6dd818d3ebc92208380aa31f975587b0ea495b96785921d5f25bc3bacaee1c
    • Evidence02484f13fad2fac69191acdeafd178f61ef45af2b8d264472ff798399d446abc
    • Evidence15a470e1d6656990d671a7405190b8edd03d2017497f4a7084eee0fca4c86b62
    • Evidenceb82a1dfaf6d3ef3f5b11a2cbcbac4346fb5655377259478c2cd8541c1706b2d6
    • Evidence56931e9d93b0a4eb0a99649585c24485520d04e5d1560ff0022c9883b2202286
    • Evidence76dbf2c0abcb178fa38e23b0da641192add4d6e053c53653e8115146271c187e
    • Evidence8e5b1aea6b224461280634542998bafd421c838bf759f08267afc4bec7fac48c
    • Evidence1b4c322ee48f398a1f13959c337bc1a2b1bac71d53d4c65caf4751f42bedcd8f
  8. Machine Readable Packet And Stable Public Paper

    verified
    • Evidence30bb69e91492c049c2e9f13a3ef9ecf84a2e31a8a2fb7a685b10dfd983be22d9
    • Evidencede6dd818d3ebc92208380aa31f975587b0ea495b96785921d5f25bc3bacaee1c
    • Evidence02484f13fad2fac69191acdeafd178f61ef45af2b8d264472ff798399d446abc
    • Evidence15a470e1d6656990d671a7405190b8edd03d2017497f4a7084eee0fca4c86b62
    • Evidenceb82a1dfaf6d3ef3f5b11a2cbcbac4346fb5655377259478c2cd8541c1706b2d6
    • Evidence56931e9d93b0a4eb0a99649585c24485520d04e5d1560ff0022c9883b2202286
    • Evidence76dbf2c0abcb178fa38e23b0da641192add4d6e053c53653e8115146271c187e
    • Evidence8e5b1aea6b224461280634542998bafd421c838bf759f08267afc4bec7fac48c
    • Evidence1b4c322ee48f398a1f13959c337bc1a2b1bac71d53d4c65caf4751f42bedcd8f
  9. Point In Time Data And Survivorship Controls

    verified
    • Evidence30bb69e91492c049c2e9f13a3ef9ecf84a2e31a8a2fb7a685b10dfd983be22d9
    • Evidencede6dd818d3ebc92208380aa31f975587b0ea495b96785921d5f25bc3bacaee1c
    • Evidence02484f13fad2fac69191acdeafd178f61ef45af2b8d264472ff798399d446abc
    • Evidence15a470e1d6656990d671a7405190b8edd03d2017497f4a7084eee0fca4c86b62
    • Evidenceb82a1dfaf6d3ef3f5b11a2cbcbac4346fb5655377259478c2cd8541c1706b2d6
    • Evidence56931e9d93b0a4eb0a99649585c24485520d04e5d1560ff0022c9883b2202286
    • Evidence76dbf2c0abcb178fa38e23b0da641192add4d6e053c53653e8115146271c187e
    • Evidence8e5b1aea6b224461280634542998bafd421c838bf759f08267afc4bec7fac48c
    • Evidence1b4c322ee48f398a1f13959c337bc1a2b1bac71d53d4c65caf4751f42bedcd8f
  10. Preregistration And Hashes

    verified
    • Evidence30bb69e91492c049c2e9f13a3ef9ecf84a2e31a8a2fb7a685b10dfd983be22d9
    • Evidencede6dd818d3ebc92208380aa31f975587b0ea495b96785921d5f25bc3bacaee1c
    • Evidence02484f13fad2fac69191acdeafd178f61ef45af2b8d264472ff798399d446abc
    • Evidence15a470e1d6656990d671a7405190b8edd03d2017497f4a7084eee0fca4c86b62
    • Evidenceb82a1dfaf6d3ef3f5b11a2cbcbac4346fb5655377259478c2cd8541c1706b2d6
    • Evidence56931e9d93b0a4eb0a99649585c24485520d04e5d1560ff0022c9883b2202286
    • Evidence76dbf2c0abcb178fa38e23b0da641192add4d6e053c53653e8115146271c187e
    • Evidence8e5b1aea6b224461280634542998bafd421c838bf759f08267afc4bec7fac48c
    • Evidence1b4c322ee48f398a1f13959c337bc1a2b1bac71d53d4c65caf4751f42bedcd8f
  11. Result Uncertainty Stress Capacity And Diversification

    verified
    • Evidence30bb69e91492c049c2e9f13a3ef9ecf84a2e31a8a2fb7a685b10dfd983be22d9
    • Evidencede6dd818d3ebc92208380aa31f975587b0ea495b96785921d5f25bc3bacaee1c
    • Evidence02484f13fad2fac69191acdeafd178f61ef45af2b8d264472ff798399d446abc
    • Evidence15a470e1d6656990d671a7405190b8edd03d2017497f4a7084eee0fca4c86b62
    • Evidenceb82a1dfaf6d3ef3f5b11a2cbcbac4346fb5655377259478c2cd8541c1706b2d6
    • Evidence56931e9d93b0a4eb0a99649585c24485520d04e5d1560ff0022c9883b2202286
    • Evidence76dbf2c0abcb178fa38e23b0da641192add4d6e053c53653e8115146271c187e
    • Evidence8e5b1aea6b224461280634542998bafd421c838bf759f08267afc4bec7fac48c
    • Evidence1b4c322ee48f398a1f13959c337bc1a2b1bac71d53d4c65caf4751f42bedcd8f

Completion assessment

COMPLETE_ACCOUNTING_FINAL_KILLED_NOT_ADMITTED

Frozen configuration

Arm
candidate_stress
Family
combined_crypto_risk_rank
Input Manifest Sha256
76dbf2c0abcb178fa38e23b0da641192add4d6e053c53653e8115146271c187e
Spec Sha256
903082e16a69905fc334f8b7bb2e2d3b6a77ef40077e82483680c9c23a30b0bf

Verify the packet

Download the machine-readable packet · All trials

Packet content hash sha256:75e8699cca1e1ffa7902a4c94362a184a41acef6d34a04d0ed21cf7578da3cc7