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Trial evidence / Equity Insider Activity

Insider Purchase Clusters

Hypothesis key d614fdc1daa2906c Incomplete

First measurement, annualised Sharpe-0.24over 2,669 observations. One historical measurement, not a return and not a forecast.

Where this sits among every trial ever recorded

-2.1527Sharpe ratio1.8129

this trial median zero

This trial ranks 49 of 224 measured identities, at the 21.9th percentile. The median trial recorded here scores 0.0247, and 53.1% score above zero at all.

By , Canli Capital

Immutable first measurement

Hypothesis key
d614fdc1daa2906c
Configuration hash
89b95c2e97f2b7f2
Research family
Equity Insider Activity
Packet status
INCOMPLETE_BACKFILL_REQUIRED
Observations
2,669
Annualized Sharpe
-0.2432756
Skew
0.290926
Kurtosis
17.101

Evidence coverage

  1. Admission Or Kill Decision

    missing

    No identity-level evidence is bound.

  2. Code Environment And Reproduction

    missing

    No identity-level evidence is bound.

  3. Economic Mechanism And Falsifiable Hypothesis

    verified

  4. Execution And Cost Model

    missing

    No identity-level evidence is bound.

  5. Family And Union Trial Accounting

    verified

  6. Identity And Authorship

    verified

  7. Literature And Overlap Decision

    verified

  8. Machine Readable Packet And Stable Public Paper

    verified

  9. Point In Time Data And Survivorship Controls

    missing

    No identity-level evidence is bound.

  10. Preregistration And Hashes

    missing

    No identity-level evidence is bound.

  11. Result Uncertainty Stress Capacity And Diversification

    missing

    No identity-level evidence is bound.

Completion assessment

  • CURRENT REPLAY EXTENDS IMMUTABLE WINDOW. The current replay has 5 additional sessions and explicitly refuses exact-first-measurement status.

Frozen configuration

Cluster Days
30
Costs
{"issuer_oneway":0.0006,"spy_oneway":0.0001}
Filing Delay Sessions
2
Hedge
trailing_252d_spy_beta_clamped_0_3
Hold Sessions
63
Mechanism
clustered_form4_open_market_purchases
Min Insiders
2
Min Value
100,000
Oos Start
2016-01-01
Positioning
equal_notional_gross_1
Prereg
docs/design/PREREG_INSIDER_CLUSTERS.md
Probe
insider_purchase_clusters
Return Aggregation
weighted_simple_returns

Verify the packet

Read the family paper · Download the machine-readable packet · All trials

Packet content hash sha256:7ee3cbfaac748f8f122a53dd821415ac7f5ef62ed4c0a684f0bddb866c288437