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Trial evidence / Managed Futures Trend

Fa0f3fbea52b8327

Hypothesis key fa0f3fbea52b8327 Complete

First measurementNot recordedThis identity carries no first-measurement Sharpe. It is one of 4 such identities.

Forward epoch

Measured after the legacy epoch closed, under reservation ordinal 321. Register status DEVELOPMENT CLOSURE FINAL NOT ADMITTED. Final disposition KILL, not admitted: a development closure: the decision the study that ran this identity already made, imported and recorded, computing nothing.

Not ranked in the legacy distribution: that population is the retired epoch, and this identity belongs to the one after it.

Immutable first measurement

Hypothesis key
fa0f3fbea52b8327
Configuration hash
f8875ccbf229b774
Research family
Managed Futures Trend
Packet status
COMPLETE_ACCOUNTING_FINAL_KILLED_NOT_ADMITTED
Observations
1,248
Annualized Sharpe
-0.2030197
Skew
-0.4463411
Kurtosis
6.569697

Evidence coverage

  1. Admission Or Kill Decision

    verified
    • Evidencef6541732798793849383d0913d84c09f9335366f0a415e9d9537585936834d79
    • Evidence739eeb98727000301fa830020abf386f4b72cf1bd147f9838c1369906a006102
    • Evidencef66b08e46276ac12b81d616852fbb40d344be11b0c19d552bb062226cf80b1a5
    • Evidence10288e413a3f948ff2b856343f187b8571847b7bada0a46fbe886787fdb1b323
    • Evidence6c854b93edbf66757ba4fbfea55db7884678b5794e73d6168bcf04c552aefb9a
    • Evidenceb659139fb2a067b4c3f8f73e63d712c763af9a0c82e5bd17e82db3d547d0e72d
    • Evidence47dd2e7cb069a1937fbd851136df43b66f37fa3252dce261d5b31ebabfd26ebc
    • Evidence479905ad9d7133655d1797e51536e9cbb43adf48521e5c5c0fd5ab2b9388f426
    • Evidence9f16df7f18e82a46fa74d7da3e4768720e8d11e05850ac2284cd7571055a53ac
    • Final Development Admission Closurea426be47e735fd989444a0ba6842225c916c707b8af7a0cc2c49d48f56b29117
  2. Code Environment And Reproduction

    verified
    • Evidencef6541732798793849383d0913d84c09f9335366f0a415e9d9537585936834d79
    • Evidence739eeb98727000301fa830020abf386f4b72cf1bd147f9838c1369906a006102
    • Evidencef66b08e46276ac12b81d616852fbb40d344be11b0c19d552bb062226cf80b1a5
    • Evidence10288e413a3f948ff2b856343f187b8571847b7bada0a46fbe886787fdb1b323
    • Evidence6c854b93edbf66757ba4fbfea55db7884678b5794e73d6168bcf04c552aefb9a
    • Evidenceb659139fb2a067b4c3f8f73e63d712c763af9a0c82e5bd17e82db3d547d0e72d
    • Evidence47dd2e7cb069a1937fbd851136df43b66f37fa3252dce261d5b31ebabfd26ebc
    • Evidence479905ad9d7133655d1797e51536e9cbb43adf48521e5c5c0fd5ab2b9388f426
    • Evidence9f16df7f18e82a46fa74d7da3e4768720e8d11e05850ac2284cd7571055a53ac
  3. Economic Mechanism And Falsifiable Hypothesis

    verified
    • Evidencef6541732798793849383d0913d84c09f9335366f0a415e9d9537585936834d79
    • Evidence739eeb98727000301fa830020abf386f4b72cf1bd147f9838c1369906a006102
    • Evidencef66b08e46276ac12b81d616852fbb40d344be11b0c19d552bb062226cf80b1a5
    • Evidence10288e413a3f948ff2b856343f187b8571847b7bada0a46fbe886787fdb1b323
    • Evidence6c854b93edbf66757ba4fbfea55db7884678b5794e73d6168bcf04c552aefb9a
    • Evidenceb659139fb2a067b4c3f8f73e63d712c763af9a0c82e5bd17e82db3d547d0e72d
    • Evidence47dd2e7cb069a1937fbd851136df43b66f37fa3252dce261d5b31ebabfd26ebc
    • Evidence479905ad9d7133655d1797e51536e9cbb43adf48521e5c5c0fd5ab2b9388f426
    • Evidence9f16df7f18e82a46fa74d7da3e4768720e8d11e05850ac2284cd7571055a53ac
  4. Execution And Cost Model

    verified
    • Evidencef6541732798793849383d0913d84c09f9335366f0a415e9d9537585936834d79
    • Evidence739eeb98727000301fa830020abf386f4b72cf1bd147f9838c1369906a006102
    • Evidencef66b08e46276ac12b81d616852fbb40d344be11b0c19d552bb062226cf80b1a5
    • Evidence10288e413a3f948ff2b856343f187b8571847b7bada0a46fbe886787fdb1b323
    • Evidence6c854b93edbf66757ba4fbfea55db7884678b5794e73d6168bcf04c552aefb9a
    • Evidenceb659139fb2a067b4c3f8f73e63d712c763af9a0c82e5bd17e82db3d547d0e72d
    • Evidence47dd2e7cb069a1937fbd851136df43b66f37fa3252dce261d5b31ebabfd26ebc
    • Evidence479905ad9d7133655d1797e51536e9cbb43adf48521e5c5c0fd5ab2b9388f426
    • Evidence9f16df7f18e82a46fa74d7da3e4768720e8d11e05850ac2284cd7571055a53ac
  5. Family And Union Trial Accounting

    verified
    • Evidencef6541732798793849383d0913d84c09f9335366f0a415e9d9537585936834d79
    • Evidence739eeb98727000301fa830020abf386f4b72cf1bd147f9838c1369906a006102
    • Evidencef66b08e46276ac12b81d616852fbb40d344be11b0c19d552bb062226cf80b1a5
    • Evidence10288e413a3f948ff2b856343f187b8571847b7bada0a46fbe886787fdb1b323
    • Evidence6c854b93edbf66757ba4fbfea55db7884678b5794e73d6168bcf04c552aefb9a
    • Evidenceb659139fb2a067b4c3f8f73e63d712c763af9a0c82e5bd17e82db3d547d0e72d
    • Evidence47dd2e7cb069a1937fbd851136df43b66f37fa3252dce261d5b31ebabfd26ebc
    • Evidence479905ad9d7133655d1797e51536e9cbb43adf48521e5c5c0fd5ab2b9388f426
    • Evidence9f16df7f18e82a46fa74d7da3e4768720e8d11e05850ac2284cd7571055a53ac
  6. Identity And Authorship

    verified
    • Evidencef6541732798793849383d0913d84c09f9335366f0a415e9d9537585936834d79
    • Evidence739eeb98727000301fa830020abf386f4b72cf1bd147f9838c1369906a006102
    • Evidencef66b08e46276ac12b81d616852fbb40d344be11b0c19d552bb062226cf80b1a5
    • Evidence10288e413a3f948ff2b856343f187b8571847b7bada0a46fbe886787fdb1b323
    • Evidence6c854b93edbf66757ba4fbfea55db7884678b5794e73d6168bcf04c552aefb9a
    • Evidenceb659139fb2a067b4c3f8f73e63d712c763af9a0c82e5bd17e82db3d547d0e72d
    • Evidence47dd2e7cb069a1937fbd851136df43b66f37fa3252dce261d5b31ebabfd26ebc
    • Evidence479905ad9d7133655d1797e51536e9cbb43adf48521e5c5c0fd5ab2b9388f426
    • Evidence9f16df7f18e82a46fa74d7da3e4768720e8d11e05850ac2284cd7571055a53ac
  7. Literature And Overlap Decision

    verified
    • Evidencef6541732798793849383d0913d84c09f9335366f0a415e9d9537585936834d79
    • Evidence739eeb98727000301fa830020abf386f4b72cf1bd147f9838c1369906a006102
    • Evidencef66b08e46276ac12b81d616852fbb40d344be11b0c19d552bb062226cf80b1a5
    • Evidence10288e413a3f948ff2b856343f187b8571847b7bada0a46fbe886787fdb1b323
    • Evidence6c854b93edbf66757ba4fbfea55db7884678b5794e73d6168bcf04c552aefb9a
    • Evidenceb659139fb2a067b4c3f8f73e63d712c763af9a0c82e5bd17e82db3d547d0e72d
    • Evidence47dd2e7cb069a1937fbd851136df43b66f37fa3252dce261d5b31ebabfd26ebc
    • Evidence479905ad9d7133655d1797e51536e9cbb43adf48521e5c5c0fd5ab2b9388f426
    • Evidence9f16df7f18e82a46fa74d7da3e4768720e8d11e05850ac2284cd7571055a53ac
  8. Machine Readable Packet And Stable Public Paper

    verified
    • Evidencef6541732798793849383d0913d84c09f9335366f0a415e9d9537585936834d79
    • Evidence739eeb98727000301fa830020abf386f4b72cf1bd147f9838c1369906a006102
    • Evidencef66b08e46276ac12b81d616852fbb40d344be11b0c19d552bb062226cf80b1a5
    • Evidence10288e413a3f948ff2b856343f187b8571847b7bada0a46fbe886787fdb1b323
    • Evidence6c854b93edbf66757ba4fbfea55db7884678b5794e73d6168bcf04c552aefb9a
    • Evidenceb659139fb2a067b4c3f8f73e63d712c763af9a0c82e5bd17e82db3d547d0e72d
    • Evidence47dd2e7cb069a1937fbd851136df43b66f37fa3252dce261d5b31ebabfd26ebc
    • Evidence479905ad9d7133655d1797e51536e9cbb43adf48521e5c5c0fd5ab2b9388f426
    • Evidence9f16df7f18e82a46fa74d7da3e4768720e8d11e05850ac2284cd7571055a53ac
  9. Point In Time Data And Survivorship Controls

    verified
    • Evidencef6541732798793849383d0913d84c09f9335366f0a415e9d9537585936834d79
    • Evidence739eeb98727000301fa830020abf386f4b72cf1bd147f9838c1369906a006102
    • Evidencef66b08e46276ac12b81d616852fbb40d344be11b0c19d552bb062226cf80b1a5
    • Evidence10288e413a3f948ff2b856343f187b8571847b7bada0a46fbe886787fdb1b323
    • Evidence6c854b93edbf66757ba4fbfea55db7884678b5794e73d6168bcf04c552aefb9a
    • Evidenceb659139fb2a067b4c3f8f73e63d712c763af9a0c82e5bd17e82db3d547d0e72d
    • Evidence47dd2e7cb069a1937fbd851136df43b66f37fa3252dce261d5b31ebabfd26ebc
    • Evidence479905ad9d7133655d1797e51536e9cbb43adf48521e5c5c0fd5ab2b9388f426
    • Evidence9f16df7f18e82a46fa74d7da3e4768720e8d11e05850ac2284cd7571055a53ac
  10. Preregistration And Hashes

    verified
    • Evidencef6541732798793849383d0913d84c09f9335366f0a415e9d9537585936834d79
    • Evidence739eeb98727000301fa830020abf386f4b72cf1bd147f9838c1369906a006102
    • Evidencef66b08e46276ac12b81d616852fbb40d344be11b0c19d552bb062226cf80b1a5
    • Evidence10288e413a3f948ff2b856343f187b8571847b7bada0a46fbe886787fdb1b323
    • Evidence6c854b93edbf66757ba4fbfea55db7884678b5794e73d6168bcf04c552aefb9a
    • Evidenceb659139fb2a067b4c3f8f73e63d712c763af9a0c82e5bd17e82db3d547d0e72d
    • Evidence47dd2e7cb069a1937fbd851136df43b66f37fa3252dce261d5b31ebabfd26ebc
    • Evidence479905ad9d7133655d1797e51536e9cbb43adf48521e5c5c0fd5ab2b9388f426
    • Evidence9f16df7f18e82a46fa74d7da3e4768720e8d11e05850ac2284cd7571055a53ac
  11. Result Uncertainty Stress Capacity And Diversification

    verified
    • Evidencef6541732798793849383d0913d84c09f9335366f0a415e9d9537585936834d79
    • Evidence739eeb98727000301fa830020abf386f4b72cf1bd147f9838c1369906a006102
    • Evidencef66b08e46276ac12b81d616852fbb40d344be11b0c19d552bb062226cf80b1a5
    • Evidence10288e413a3f948ff2b856343f187b8571847b7bada0a46fbe886787fdb1b323
    • Evidence6c854b93edbf66757ba4fbfea55db7884678b5794e73d6168bcf04c552aefb9a
    • Evidenceb659139fb2a067b4c3f8f73e63d712c763af9a0c82e5bd17e82db3d547d0e72d
    • Evidence47dd2e7cb069a1937fbd851136df43b66f37fa3252dce261d5b31ebabfd26ebc
    • Evidence479905ad9d7133655d1797e51536e9cbb43adf48521e5c5c0fd5ab2b9388f426
    • Evidence9f16df7f18e82a46fa74d7da3e4768720e8d11e05850ac2284cd7571055a53ac

Completion assessment

COMPLETE_ACCOUNTING_FINAL_KILLED_NOT_ADMITTED

Frozen configuration

Arm
candidate_stress
Family
combined_crypto_retention
Input Manifest Sha256
47dd2e7cb069a1937fbd851136df43b66f37fa3252dce261d5b31ebabfd26ebc
Spec Sha256
996d55e8272d2e34b983be0b9831fd80853b880dbb20e3e67a28b48dcbdc0a1c

Verify the packet

Download the machine-readable packet · All trials

Packet content hash sha256:0ac6362e5d8162d6eed7d589ce837f9c669403fca093bbf19d311461db1dfcb4