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Trial evidence / Managed Futures Trend

Ffa8134aa551560b

Hypothesis key ffa8134aa551560b Complete

First measurementNot recordedThis identity carries no first-measurement Sharpe. It is one of 4 such identities.

Forward epoch

Measured after the legacy epoch closed, under reservation ordinal 325. Register status DEVELOPMENT CLOSURE FINAL NOT ADMITTED. Final disposition KILL, not admitted: a development closure: the decision the study that ran this identity already made, imported and recorded, computing nothing.

Not ranked in the legacy distribution: that population is the retired epoch, and this identity belongs to the one after it.

Immutable first measurement

Hypothesis key
ffa8134aa551560b
Configuration hash
18b398fe2d7841b9
Research family
Managed Futures Trend
Packet status
COMPLETE_ACCOUNTING_FINAL_KILLED_NOT_ADMITTED
Observations
1,248
Annualized Sharpe
0.08421112
Skew
-0.03986046
Kurtosis
6.122456

Evidence coverage

  1. Admission Or Kill Decision

    verified
    • Evidence1a8814f32cb5381915fa2a0af8335ef044f6a7dbfb05a317f00a8293d2396e54
    • Evidence3ae8cdf13fa2175a09ffd9b331477ac5626473f1e64d129be6cdcb60c12c1149
    • Evidenceb9264e5d398dee355d13edeb411d92c743504b30012ccb0fa1ea3cb0dad10905
    • Evidencee9b268bd2bb6108f781313be028dad8ae6f65dd17a8fcbda378663bf30b24caf
    • Evidence5f37daa69673d70c29a15347d6ee0a209ea8402642d2e2daf07f11302c54a9e7
    • Evidence38f4d4a81cdc23e49fd771c480e783b5e4b7f6ae7474adffcebec4a3d2853637
    • Evidence35e1d74b0bc659e8ac1f86dbbbe2ba911a0427f39e2bbf35f441b80cc76fa441
    • Evidencedcd9a1143d1a90cc78e2e4b54a6f593b8d879eb61d18aed1f70f04ccd1435c54
    • Evidencedd15340a24c03937583113f7a7b5aeea49a8778395fb375d0c6223e7ec8b1470
    • Final Development Admission Closure1053d629f0dea3dd329715cb58670314c5390d6f1ae175482b9a7794df9c4792
  2. Code Environment And Reproduction

    verified
    • Evidence1a8814f32cb5381915fa2a0af8335ef044f6a7dbfb05a317f00a8293d2396e54
    • Evidence3ae8cdf13fa2175a09ffd9b331477ac5626473f1e64d129be6cdcb60c12c1149
    • Evidenceb9264e5d398dee355d13edeb411d92c743504b30012ccb0fa1ea3cb0dad10905
    • Evidencee9b268bd2bb6108f781313be028dad8ae6f65dd17a8fcbda378663bf30b24caf
    • Evidence5f37daa69673d70c29a15347d6ee0a209ea8402642d2e2daf07f11302c54a9e7
    • Evidence38f4d4a81cdc23e49fd771c480e783b5e4b7f6ae7474adffcebec4a3d2853637
    • Evidence35e1d74b0bc659e8ac1f86dbbbe2ba911a0427f39e2bbf35f441b80cc76fa441
    • Evidencedcd9a1143d1a90cc78e2e4b54a6f593b8d879eb61d18aed1f70f04ccd1435c54
    • Evidencedd15340a24c03937583113f7a7b5aeea49a8778395fb375d0c6223e7ec8b1470
  3. Economic Mechanism And Falsifiable Hypothesis

    verified
    • Evidence1a8814f32cb5381915fa2a0af8335ef044f6a7dbfb05a317f00a8293d2396e54
    • Evidence3ae8cdf13fa2175a09ffd9b331477ac5626473f1e64d129be6cdcb60c12c1149
    • Evidenceb9264e5d398dee355d13edeb411d92c743504b30012ccb0fa1ea3cb0dad10905
    • Evidencee9b268bd2bb6108f781313be028dad8ae6f65dd17a8fcbda378663bf30b24caf
    • Evidence5f37daa69673d70c29a15347d6ee0a209ea8402642d2e2daf07f11302c54a9e7
    • Evidence38f4d4a81cdc23e49fd771c480e783b5e4b7f6ae7474adffcebec4a3d2853637
    • Evidence35e1d74b0bc659e8ac1f86dbbbe2ba911a0427f39e2bbf35f441b80cc76fa441
    • Evidencedcd9a1143d1a90cc78e2e4b54a6f593b8d879eb61d18aed1f70f04ccd1435c54
    • Evidencedd15340a24c03937583113f7a7b5aeea49a8778395fb375d0c6223e7ec8b1470
  4. Execution And Cost Model

    verified
    • Evidence1a8814f32cb5381915fa2a0af8335ef044f6a7dbfb05a317f00a8293d2396e54
    • Evidence3ae8cdf13fa2175a09ffd9b331477ac5626473f1e64d129be6cdcb60c12c1149
    • Evidenceb9264e5d398dee355d13edeb411d92c743504b30012ccb0fa1ea3cb0dad10905
    • Evidencee9b268bd2bb6108f781313be028dad8ae6f65dd17a8fcbda378663bf30b24caf
    • Evidence5f37daa69673d70c29a15347d6ee0a209ea8402642d2e2daf07f11302c54a9e7
    • Evidence38f4d4a81cdc23e49fd771c480e783b5e4b7f6ae7474adffcebec4a3d2853637
    • Evidence35e1d74b0bc659e8ac1f86dbbbe2ba911a0427f39e2bbf35f441b80cc76fa441
    • Evidencedcd9a1143d1a90cc78e2e4b54a6f593b8d879eb61d18aed1f70f04ccd1435c54
    • Evidencedd15340a24c03937583113f7a7b5aeea49a8778395fb375d0c6223e7ec8b1470
  5. Family And Union Trial Accounting

    verified
    • Evidence1a8814f32cb5381915fa2a0af8335ef044f6a7dbfb05a317f00a8293d2396e54
    • Evidence3ae8cdf13fa2175a09ffd9b331477ac5626473f1e64d129be6cdcb60c12c1149
    • Evidenceb9264e5d398dee355d13edeb411d92c743504b30012ccb0fa1ea3cb0dad10905
    • Evidencee9b268bd2bb6108f781313be028dad8ae6f65dd17a8fcbda378663bf30b24caf
    • Evidence5f37daa69673d70c29a15347d6ee0a209ea8402642d2e2daf07f11302c54a9e7
    • Evidence38f4d4a81cdc23e49fd771c480e783b5e4b7f6ae7474adffcebec4a3d2853637
    • Evidence35e1d74b0bc659e8ac1f86dbbbe2ba911a0427f39e2bbf35f441b80cc76fa441
    • Evidencedcd9a1143d1a90cc78e2e4b54a6f593b8d879eb61d18aed1f70f04ccd1435c54
    • Evidencedd15340a24c03937583113f7a7b5aeea49a8778395fb375d0c6223e7ec8b1470
  6. Identity And Authorship

    verified
    • Evidence1a8814f32cb5381915fa2a0af8335ef044f6a7dbfb05a317f00a8293d2396e54
    • Evidence3ae8cdf13fa2175a09ffd9b331477ac5626473f1e64d129be6cdcb60c12c1149
    • Evidenceb9264e5d398dee355d13edeb411d92c743504b30012ccb0fa1ea3cb0dad10905
    • Evidencee9b268bd2bb6108f781313be028dad8ae6f65dd17a8fcbda378663bf30b24caf
    • Evidence5f37daa69673d70c29a15347d6ee0a209ea8402642d2e2daf07f11302c54a9e7
    • Evidence38f4d4a81cdc23e49fd771c480e783b5e4b7f6ae7474adffcebec4a3d2853637
    • Evidence35e1d74b0bc659e8ac1f86dbbbe2ba911a0427f39e2bbf35f441b80cc76fa441
    • Evidencedcd9a1143d1a90cc78e2e4b54a6f593b8d879eb61d18aed1f70f04ccd1435c54
    • Evidencedd15340a24c03937583113f7a7b5aeea49a8778395fb375d0c6223e7ec8b1470
  7. Literature And Overlap Decision

    verified
    • Evidence1a8814f32cb5381915fa2a0af8335ef044f6a7dbfb05a317f00a8293d2396e54
    • Evidence3ae8cdf13fa2175a09ffd9b331477ac5626473f1e64d129be6cdcb60c12c1149
    • Evidenceb9264e5d398dee355d13edeb411d92c743504b30012ccb0fa1ea3cb0dad10905
    • Evidencee9b268bd2bb6108f781313be028dad8ae6f65dd17a8fcbda378663bf30b24caf
    • Evidence5f37daa69673d70c29a15347d6ee0a209ea8402642d2e2daf07f11302c54a9e7
    • Evidence38f4d4a81cdc23e49fd771c480e783b5e4b7f6ae7474adffcebec4a3d2853637
    • Evidence35e1d74b0bc659e8ac1f86dbbbe2ba911a0427f39e2bbf35f441b80cc76fa441
    • Evidencedcd9a1143d1a90cc78e2e4b54a6f593b8d879eb61d18aed1f70f04ccd1435c54
    • Evidencedd15340a24c03937583113f7a7b5aeea49a8778395fb375d0c6223e7ec8b1470
  8. Machine Readable Packet And Stable Public Paper

    verified
    • Evidence1a8814f32cb5381915fa2a0af8335ef044f6a7dbfb05a317f00a8293d2396e54
    • Evidence3ae8cdf13fa2175a09ffd9b331477ac5626473f1e64d129be6cdcb60c12c1149
    • Evidenceb9264e5d398dee355d13edeb411d92c743504b30012ccb0fa1ea3cb0dad10905
    • Evidencee9b268bd2bb6108f781313be028dad8ae6f65dd17a8fcbda378663bf30b24caf
    • Evidence5f37daa69673d70c29a15347d6ee0a209ea8402642d2e2daf07f11302c54a9e7
    • Evidence38f4d4a81cdc23e49fd771c480e783b5e4b7f6ae7474adffcebec4a3d2853637
    • Evidence35e1d74b0bc659e8ac1f86dbbbe2ba911a0427f39e2bbf35f441b80cc76fa441
    • Evidencedcd9a1143d1a90cc78e2e4b54a6f593b8d879eb61d18aed1f70f04ccd1435c54
    • Evidencedd15340a24c03937583113f7a7b5aeea49a8778395fb375d0c6223e7ec8b1470
  9. Point In Time Data And Survivorship Controls

    verified
    • Evidence1a8814f32cb5381915fa2a0af8335ef044f6a7dbfb05a317f00a8293d2396e54
    • Evidence3ae8cdf13fa2175a09ffd9b331477ac5626473f1e64d129be6cdcb60c12c1149
    • Evidenceb9264e5d398dee355d13edeb411d92c743504b30012ccb0fa1ea3cb0dad10905
    • Evidencee9b268bd2bb6108f781313be028dad8ae6f65dd17a8fcbda378663bf30b24caf
    • Evidence5f37daa69673d70c29a15347d6ee0a209ea8402642d2e2daf07f11302c54a9e7
    • Evidence38f4d4a81cdc23e49fd771c480e783b5e4b7f6ae7474adffcebec4a3d2853637
    • Evidence35e1d74b0bc659e8ac1f86dbbbe2ba911a0427f39e2bbf35f441b80cc76fa441
    • Evidencedcd9a1143d1a90cc78e2e4b54a6f593b8d879eb61d18aed1f70f04ccd1435c54
    • Evidencedd15340a24c03937583113f7a7b5aeea49a8778395fb375d0c6223e7ec8b1470
  10. Preregistration And Hashes

    verified
    • Evidence1a8814f32cb5381915fa2a0af8335ef044f6a7dbfb05a317f00a8293d2396e54
    • Evidence3ae8cdf13fa2175a09ffd9b331477ac5626473f1e64d129be6cdcb60c12c1149
    • Evidenceb9264e5d398dee355d13edeb411d92c743504b30012ccb0fa1ea3cb0dad10905
    • Evidencee9b268bd2bb6108f781313be028dad8ae6f65dd17a8fcbda378663bf30b24caf
    • Evidence5f37daa69673d70c29a15347d6ee0a209ea8402642d2e2daf07f11302c54a9e7
    • Evidence38f4d4a81cdc23e49fd771c480e783b5e4b7f6ae7474adffcebec4a3d2853637
    • Evidence35e1d74b0bc659e8ac1f86dbbbe2ba911a0427f39e2bbf35f441b80cc76fa441
    • Evidencedcd9a1143d1a90cc78e2e4b54a6f593b8d879eb61d18aed1f70f04ccd1435c54
    • Evidencedd15340a24c03937583113f7a7b5aeea49a8778395fb375d0c6223e7ec8b1470
  11. Result Uncertainty Stress Capacity And Diversification

    verified
    • Evidence1a8814f32cb5381915fa2a0af8335ef044f6a7dbfb05a317f00a8293d2396e54
    • Evidence3ae8cdf13fa2175a09ffd9b331477ac5626473f1e64d129be6cdcb60c12c1149
    • Evidenceb9264e5d398dee355d13edeb411d92c743504b30012ccb0fa1ea3cb0dad10905
    • Evidencee9b268bd2bb6108f781313be028dad8ae6f65dd17a8fcbda378663bf30b24caf
    • Evidence5f37daa69673d70c29a15347d6ee0a209ea8402642d2e2daf07f11302c54a9e7
    • Evidence38f4d4a81cdc23e49fd771c480e783b5e4b7f6ae7474adffcebec4a3d2853637
    • Evidence35e1d74b0bc659e8ac1f86dbbbe2ba911a0427f39e2bbf35f441b80cc76fa441
    • Evidencedcd9a1143d1a90cc78e2e4b54a6f593b8d879eb61d18aed1f70f04ccd1435c54
    • Evidencedd15340a24c03937583113f7a7b5aeea49a8778395fb375d0c6223e7ec8b1470

Completion assessment

COMPLETE_ACCOUNTING_FINAL_KILLED_NOT_ADMITTED

Frozen configuration

Arm
candidate_stress
Family
combined_crypto_observed_carry
Input Manifest Sha256
35e1d74b0bc659e8ac1f86dbbbe2ba911a0427f39e2bbf35f441b80cc76fa441
Spec Sha256
90fabae62f4b7cbf0714a96777242748372b420d3acbf442f61dca4ed55e4a57

Verify the packet

Download the machine-readable packet · All trials

Packet content hash sha256:dde4c6cf39e2c22c472e65837b33df88a019d20624a35ce0cbc90ec3c9c07b8f