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Trial evidence / Crypto Carry

Carry Fund 21

Hypothesis key 6d151a184bf3e743 Incomplete

First measurement, annualised Sharpe0.68over 1,574 observations. One historical measurement, not a return and not a forecast.

Where this sits among every trial ever recorded

-2.1527Sharpe ratio1.8129

this trial median zero

This trial ranks 199 of 224 measured identities, at the 88.8th percentile. The median trial recorded here scores 0.0247, and 53.1% score above zero at all.

By , Canli Capital

Immutable first measurement

Hypothesis key
6d151a184bf3e743
Configuration hash
34e792f7bb231949
Research family
Crypto Carry
Packet status
INCOMPLETE_BACKFILL_REQUIRED
Observations
1,574
Annualized Sharpe
0.6766104
Skew
-0.5965926
Kurtosis
12.42975

Evidence coverage

  1. Admission Or Kill Decision

    missing

    No identity-level evidence is bound.

  2. Code Environment And Reproduction

    missing

    No identity-level evidence is bound.

  3. Economic Mechanism And Falsifiable Hypothesis

    verified

  4. Execution And Cost Model

    missing

    No identity-level evidence is bound.

  5. Family And Union Trial Accounting

    verified

  6. Identity And Authorship

    verified

  7. Literature And Overlap Decision

    verified

  8. Machine Readable Packet And Stable Public Paper

    verified

  9. Point In Time Data And Survivorship Controls

    missing

    No identity-level evidence is bound.

  10. Preregistration And Hashes

    missing

    No identity-level evidence is bound.

  11. Result Uncertainty Stress Capacity And Diversification

    missing

    No identity-level evidence is bound.

Completion assessment

  • PREREGISTRATION POSTDATES FIRST MEASUREMENT. The immutable first measurement predates the campaign preregistration commit; the later document cannot be applied retroactively.
  • ORIGINAL RUN LACKS CODE AND ENVIRONMENT STAMP. The exact result is preserved, but walkforward.json contains no Git SHA, runner hash, lockfile hash, or input-data manifest for the original run.
  • CARRY SPECIFIC CAPACITY UNMEASURED. The family paper correctly treats the later multi-factor capacity sweep as context, not proof of carry-specific capacity.

Frozen configuration

Allocator
rank
Alpha Names
carry_fund_21
End
1,780,272,000,000
Instrument Ids
List preserved in the machine-readable packet
No Trade Band
0.001
Rebalance Bars
168
Start
1,622,505,600,000
Test Bars
1,512
Train Bars
6,048

Verify the packet

Read the family paper · Download the machine-readable packet · All trials

Packet content hash sha256:f8da1c921eafc8716ea7d4cc982d1de04f17d8ee4bb3f20b9d99b5a7f87228bc