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Canli Capital

Trial evidence / Macro Economic Trend

cpi_surprise_size

By , Canli Capital

Hypothesisdf2ff29afd9fcdb8 Incomplete

This page is generated from the exact machine-readable packet for cpi_surprise_size. Publication makes the evidence inspectable; it does not upgrade the result, fill a missing section, or establish future performance.

Immutable first measurement

Hypothesis key
df2ff29afd9fcdb8
Configuration hash
db95275a78e25ab1
Research family
Macro Economic Trend
Packet status
INCOMPLETE_BACKFILL_REQUIRED
Observations
5,977
Annualized Sharpe
0.3402798
Skew
0.4328067
Kurtosis
26.78365

Evidence coverage

The spine below is the trial-packet contract. A missing section stays visibly missing.

  1. Admission Or Kill Decision

    missing

    No identity-level evidence is bound.

  2. Code Environment And Reproduction

    missing

    No identity-level evidence is bound.

  3. Economic Mechanism And Falsifiable Hypothesis

    verified

  4. Execution And Cost Model

    missing

    No identity-level evidence is bound.

  5. Family And Union Trial Accounting

    verified

  6. Identity And Authorship

    verified

  7. Literature And Overlap Decision

    verified

  8. Machine Readable Packet And Stable Public Paper

    verified

  9. Point In Time Data And Survivorship Controls

    missing

    No identity-level evidence is bound.

  10. Preregistration And Hashes

    missing

    No identity-level evidence is bound.

  11. Result Uncertainty Stress Capacity And Diversification

    missing

    No identity-level evidence is bound.

Completion assessment

Missing sections are fail-closed evidence debt. This identity has not yet received a source-by-source recoverability audit.

Frozen configuration

Ar Lags
3
Clip
3
Cost Oneway Bp
6
Prereg
docs/design/PREREG_SLEEVE4_INVESTMENT.md / spec locked 2026-08-05
Probe
cpi_surprise_size
Series
PCPI, PCPIX
Sign
-1
Spread
IWM-SPY

Verify the packet

Read the family paper · Download the machine-readable packet · All trials

Packet content hash sha256:1f626dde70d5f367e839b85c64bd6d955c9ce6de6b10067f512b349e6e199996